Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: MNK Izola vs NK Rudar Trbovlje

Team pages: MNK Izola · NK Rudar Trbovlje

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.32Total

MNK Izola2.74

NK Rudar Trbovlje1.58

1X2

61% 18% 20%

MNK Izola Draw NK Rudar Trbovlje

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

MNK Izola 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

NK Rudar Trbovlje 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWWWLLLW

Head-to-head

MNK Izola 1–1–1 NK Rudar Trbovlje (3 last)

MNK Izola2-3NK Rudar Trbovlje
NK Rudar Trbovlje1-1MNK Izola
NK Rudar Trbovlje0-2MNK Izola

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MNK Izola (rating 1605 vs 1486).
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MNK Izola	NK Rudar Trbovlje
Goals for / against (FT)	4.3 / 0.6	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.8 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	25/0/75%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.8 / 7	1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.89

Under 41.81

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.16▼	Pinn 1.16
X	6.51 → 6.68▲	Pinn 6.68
2	8.27 → 8.64▲	Pinn 8.64

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +60’	1.17	6.51	8.27
05:43 +27’	1.16▼	6.68▲	8.64▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MNK Izola 1–1–1 NK Rudar Trbovlje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	MNK Izola	2-3 HT 2-1	NK Rudar Trbovlje
16/08/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Rudar Trbovlje	1-1	MNK Izola
17/08/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Rudar Trbovlje	0-2 HT 0-1	MNK Izola

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MNK Izola	9	9	0	0	40	6	27
2	Roltek DOB	9	6	2	1	22	7	20
3	ND Idrija	9	6	1	2	15	11	19
4	NK Sencur	9	4	4	1	17	11	16
5	NK Litija	9	4	3	2	16	8	15
6	NK Tolmin	9	4	3	2	18	12	15
7	NK Rudar Trbovlje	9	4	1	4	13	19	13
8	NK Skofja Loka	9	3	3	3	15	18	12
9	NK Adria Miren	9	3	1	5	19	17	10
10	NK Ziri	9	1	4	4	9	14	7
11	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	9	2	1	6	9	18	7
12	NK Fama Vipava	9	2	0	7	14	41	6
13	NK Sobec Lesce	9	0	4	5	6	16	4
14	Svoboda Ljubljana	9	1	1	7	6	21	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MNK Izola	NK Rudar Trbovlje
NK Ziri	2-1 W	2-1 W
NK Skofja Loka	6-0 W	1-3 L
NK Sencur	5-2 W	0-3 L
Roltek DOB	3-0 W	1-3 L
NK Fama Vipava	11-0 W	3-2 W
NK Adria Miren	4-2 W	3-1 W
NK Litija	4-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MNK Izola (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MNK Izola

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	4-1	16	3	W
03/10	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
27/09	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	–	6-0	–	–	W
19/09	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-2	–	–	W
05/09	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	3-0	2	7	W
29/08	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	–	11-0	–	–	W
21/08	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	4-2	7	3	W
15/08	NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	4-0	3	8	W
23/05	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-0	–	–	W

NK Rudar Trbovlje

DLDWWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	1-3	1-3	5	4	L
20/09	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-3	5	0	L
13/09	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	1-3	0	7	L
06/09	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
23/05	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-4	–	–	L
16/05	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	3-3	3	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MNK Izola vs NK Rudar Trbovlje?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MNK Izola win (61%). Probabilities: MNK Izola 61%, draw 18%, NK Rudar Trbovlje 20%.

How many goals are expected in MNK Izola vs NK Rudar Trbovlje?

The model expects 4.32 goals (MNK Izola 2.74 · NK Rudar Trbovlje 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in MNK Izola vs NK Rudar Trbovlje?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.