Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: NK Race vs NK Fuzinar

Team pages: NK Race · NK Fuzinar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

NK Race1.76

NK Fuzinar1.88

1X2

36% 23% 41%

NK Race Draw NK Fuzinar

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Race 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDLLDWWD

NK Fuzinar 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWWDW

Head-to-head

NK Race 0–1–2 NK Fuzinar (3 last)

NK Fuzinar5-1NK Race
NK Fuzinar5-0NK Race
NK Race0-0NK Fuzinar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Race 1498 · NK Fuzinar 1587

	NK Race	Draw	NK Fuzinar
Our model	36%	24%	41%
Market	36%	23%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Fuzinar (rating 1498 vs 1587).
H2H favours NK Fuzinar: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Race	NK Fuzinar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	3.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/57/14%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	5.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.90

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.62 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:44 +4’	2.50	3.90	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +62’	2.43	3.57	2.31
05:39 +32’	2.62▲	3.51▼	2.18▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Race 0–1–2 NK Fuzinar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fuzinar	5-1	NK Race
19/11/25 Slovenia Cup	NK Fuzinar	5-0 HT 3-0	NK Race
04/10/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Race	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Fuzinar

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	9	7	2	0	27	11	23
2	NK Fuzinar	9	6	1	2	32	21	19
3	NK Ormoz	9	5	1	3	21	17	16
4	NK Hajdina	10	4	4	2	18	15	16
5	NK Smartno	9	5	1	3	23	19	16
6	NK Carda	9	4	3	2	22	15	15
7	SD Videm	10	4	2	4	17	19	14
8	NK Podvinci	10	4	2	4	15	19	14
9	NK Korotan Prevalje	9	2	5	2	13	12	11
10	NK Race	9	2	4	3	10	10	10
11	NK Dobrovce	9	3	0	6	12	23	9
12	NK Ljutomer	10	2	2	6	12	16	8
13	NK Limbus Pekre	9	1	2	6	7	22	5
14	NK Sampion Celje	9	1	1	7	11	21	4
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Race	NK Fuzinar
NK Limbus Pekre	1-1 D	2-0 W
SD Videm	1-2 L	1-2 L
NK Smartno	1-2 L	5-1 W
NK Korotan Prevalje	0-0 D	4-4 D
NK Ormoz	1-2 L	4-3 W
NK Hajdina	1-1 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NK Fuzinar (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Race

WDLDLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
03/10	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
26/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
19/09	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-2	3	7	D
11/09	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
05/09	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/08	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
22/08	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
23/05	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W

NK Fuzinar

LWLWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-1	–	–	W
03/10	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-4	–	–	D
26/09	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	4-3	8	9	W
19/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-2	–	–	W
12/09	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-3	–	–	W
06/09	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-5	–	–	L
29/08	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-1	–	–	W
23/08	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	3	7	L
15/08	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-2	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Race vs NK Fuzinar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Fuzinar win (41%). Probabilities: NK Race 36%, draw 23%, NK Fuzinar 41%.

How many goals are expected in NK Race vs NK Fuzinar?

The model expects 3.63 goals (NK Race 1.76 · NK Fuzinar 1.88), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Race vs NK Fuzinar?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.