Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 17/08, 22:00
Prediction: Lanus vs CA Independiente
Team pages: Lanus · CA Independiente
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Lanus1.1
CA Independiente0.81
1X2
Lanus
Draw
CA Independiente
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Lanus
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lanus
1–3–2
CA Independiente
(6 last)
- CA Independiente2-0Lanus
- CA Independiente0-2Lanus
- Lanus1-1CA Independiente
- Lanus0-2CA Independiente
- CA Independiente1-1Lanus
- Lanus1-1CA Independiente
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanus 1484 · CA Independiente 1503
| Lanus | Draw | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Market | 41% | 33% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Independiente: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lanus | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.2 | 2.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanus 1–3–2 CA Independiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lanus |
| 13/10/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Lanus |
| 06/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CA Independiente |
| 19/10/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente |
| 28/05/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lanus |
| 13/08/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Lanus | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Deportivo Riestra | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | CA Independiente | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 10 | Newell's | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | Platense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Estudiantes LP | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | San Lorenzo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lanus | CA Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| San Lorenzo | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Independiente (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Union Santa Fe TEST Fixtures |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/07 | Cienciano Copa Sudamericana |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/07 | Cienciano Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 27/05 | Mirassol Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | LDU Quito Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
CA Independiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 10/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 24/04 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanus vs CA Independiente?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lanus win (41%). Probabilities: Lanus 41%, draw 33%, CA Independiente 26%.
How many goals are expected in Lanus vs CA Independiente?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Lanus 1.1 · CA Independiente 0.81), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lanus vs CA Independiente?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.