Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 16/08, 23:00
Prediction: River Plate vs Argentinos Jrs
Team pages: River Plate · Argentinos Jrs
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
River Plate1.4
Argentinos Jrs0.84
1X2
River Plate
Draw
Argentinos Jrs
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
River Plate
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Argentinos Jrs
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
River Plate
2–1–3
Argentinos Jrs
(6 last)
- Argentinos Jrs1-0River Plate
- Argentinos Jrs1-0River Plate
- River Plate1-1Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs3-2River Plate
- River Plate2-1Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs0-3River Plate
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · River Plate 1443 · Argentinos Jrs 1587
| River Plate | Draw | Argentinos Jrs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Argentinos Jrs (rating 1443 vs 1587).
- H2H favours Argentinos Jrs: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| River Plate | Argentinos Jrs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.9 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 6.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · River Plate 2–1–3 Argentinos Jrs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 1-0 HT 1-0 | River Plate |
| 25/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 1-0 HT 1-0 | River Plate |
| 28/01/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | River Plate | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 21/08/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 3-2 HT 2-2 | River Plate |
| 12/02/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 03/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 0-3 HT 0-0 | River Plate |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Gimnasia LP | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | CA Tigre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Huracan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Sarmiento | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Banfield | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | River Plate | Argentinos Jrs |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia LP | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Belgrano | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 30/07 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Aldosivi Argentina Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Flamengo America Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Blooming Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Bragantino Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
Argentinos Jrs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 01/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 9 | L |
| 28/04 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in River Plate vs Argentinos Jrs?
According to our model, the most likely result is a River Plate win (49%). Probabilities: River Plate 49%, draw 30%, Argentinos Jrs 21%.
How many goals are expected in River Plate vs Argentinos Jrs?
The model expects 2.24 goals (River Plate 1.4 · Argentinos Jrs 0.84), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in River Plate vs Argentinos Jrs?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.