Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 17/08, 01:15
Prediction: Barracas Central vs Rosario Central
Team pages: Barracas Central · Rosario Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Barracas Central0.83
Rosario Central1.07
1X2
Barracas Central
Draw
Rosario Central
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Barracas Central
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Rosario Central
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barracas Central
3–2–1
Rosario Central
(6 last)
- Rosario Central2-0Barracas Central
- Rosario Central0-1Barracas Central
- Rosario Central0-1Barracas Central
- Rosario Central1-2Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-1Rosario Central
- Barracas Central0-0Rosario Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barracas Central 1493 · Rosario Central 1541
| Barracas Central | Draw | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 34% | 39% |
| Market | 27% | 32% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosario Central (rating 1493 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Barracas Central: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barracas Central | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.1 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barracas Central 3–2–1 Rosario Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 01/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 08/07/24 Argentina Cup | Rosario Central | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Barracas Central |
| 29/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Barracas Central |
| 06/11/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Rosario Central |
| 09/06/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rosario Central |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Gimnasia LP | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | CA Tigre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Huracan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Sarmiento | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Banfield | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barracas Central | Rosario Central |
|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barracas Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | Huracan Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | Audax Italiano Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Audax Italiano Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Rosario Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 29/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 26/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Copa Santa Fe |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Independiente del Valle Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | UCV Copa Libertadores |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 13/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barracas Central vs Rosario Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosario Central win (40%). Probabilities: Barracas Central 27%, draw 33%, Rosario Central 40%.
How many goals are expected in Barracas Central vs Rosario Central?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Barracas Central 0.83 · Rosario Central 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Barracas Central vs Rosario Central?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.