Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 06/09, 22:00
Prediction: Rosario Central vs Newell's
Team pages: Rosario Central · Newell's
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Rosario Central1.43
Newell's0.66
1X2
Rosario Central
Draw
Newell's
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Rosario Central
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Newell's
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rosario Central
6–0
Newell's
(6 last)
- Newell's0-2Rosario Central
- Rosario Central1-0Newell's
- Newell's1-2Rosario Central
- Rosario Central1-0Newell's
- Newell's0-1Rosario Central
- Rosario Central1-0Newell's
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rosario Central 1520 · Newell's 1513
| Rosario Central | Draw | Newell's | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | 53% | 32% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Rosario Central: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rosario Central | Newell's | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.3 | 3.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosario Central 6–0–0 Newell's
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Rosario Central |
| 23/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Newell's |
| 16/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Rosario Central |
| 10/08/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Newell's |
| 25/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Newell's | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Rosario Central |
| 30/09/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Newell's |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Sarmiento | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | CA Tigre | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Atlético Tucumán | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | CA Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rosario Central | Newell's |
|---|---|---|
| CA Talleres de Córdoba | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| CA Independiente | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rosario Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 17/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 29/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 24/07 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 13/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Newell's
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rosario Central vs Newell's?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosario Central win (54%). Probabilities: Rosario Central 54%, draw 31%, Newell's 15%.
How many goals are expected in Rosario Central vs Newell's?
The model expects 2.09 goals (Rosario Central 1.43 · Newell's 0.66), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Newell's?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.