Prediction: Gimnasia Mendoza vs Boca Juniors
Team pages: Gimnasia Mendoza · Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors1-1Gimnasia Mendoza
| Gimnasia Mendoza | Draw | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 30% | 50% |
| Market | 20% | 30% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors (rating 1533 vs 1573).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia Mendoza | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 4 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Mendoza 0–1–0 Boca Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Gimnasia Mendoza |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | CA Independiente | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Union Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 7 | Newell's | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Deportivo Riestra | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Platense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Lanus | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Estudiantes LP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia Mendoza | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Defensa y Justicia | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Lanus | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Platense | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Boca Juniors (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia Mendoza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 09/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/05 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 21/04 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Boca Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 17 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/04 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Boca Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Boca Juniors win (50%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Mendoza 20%, draw 30%, Boca Juniors 50%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Boca Juniors?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Gimnasia Mendoza 0.81 · Boca Juniors 1.4), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Boca Juniors?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.