Football · Hungary NBI Women · 25/10, 15:00

Prediction: Kispest Honved (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)

Team pages: Kispest Honved (W) · MTK Hungaria (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Kispest Honved (W)1.2

MTK Hungaria (W)1.46

1X2

31% 25% 44%

Kispest Honved (W) Draw MTK Hungaria (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kispest Honved (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWWWWW

MTK Hungaria (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWWLWL

Head-to-head

Kispest Honved (W) 0–1–5 MTK Hungaria (W) (6 last)

MTK Hungaria (W)1-0Kispest Honved (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)1-0Kispest Honved (W)
Kispest Honved (W)2-2MTK Hungaria (W)
Kispest Honved (W)0-3MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)5-0Kispest Honved (W)
Kispest Honved (W)0-2MTK Hungaria (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kispest Honved (W) 1563 · MTK Hungaria (W) 1551

	Kispest Honved (W)	Draw	MTK Hungaria (W)
Our model	30%	28%	42%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MTK Hungaria (W): 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kispest Honved (W)	MTK Hungaria (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 0.7	1.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.4	2.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:00 +5’	2.75	4.00	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kispest Honved (W) 0–1–5 MTK Hungaria (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Kispest Honved (W)
21/03/26 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Kispest Honved (W)
13/09/25 Hungary NBI Women	Kispest Honved (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	MTK Hungaria (W)
01/03/25 Hungary NBI Women	Kispest Honved (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	MTK Hungaria (W)
31/08/24 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Kispest Honved (W)
20/11/16 Hungary NBI Women	Kispest Honved (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	MTK Hungaria (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	11	8	2	1	29	8	26
2	Gyor Eto FC (W)	11	8	1	2	35	6	25
3	Ujpest (W)	11	8	1	2	24	7	25
4	Puskas FC (W)	11	7	2	2	53	14	23
5	MTK Hungaria (W)	11	7	2	2	20	6	23
6	Kispest Honved (W)	11	7	1	3	31	8	22
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	11	4	2	5	14	19	14
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	11	3	1	7	10	22	10
9	Fehervar FC (W)	11	3	0	8	13	55	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	11	2	2	7	9	18	8
11	Szekszardi (W)	11	1	0	10	3	40	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	11	1	0	10	14	52	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kispest Honved (W)	MTK Hungaria (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	6-1 W	1-0 W
Fehervar FC (W)	9-0 W	7-0 W
Astra HFC (W)	3-1 W	0-0 D
Puskas FC (W)	2-0 W	2-3 L
Diosgyori VTK (W)	5-0 W	4-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
Ujpest (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Gyor Eto FC (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Pecsi MFC (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kispest Honved (W) (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kispest Honved (W)

WWDLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-1	6-1	1	4	W
26/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	5-0	9-0	7	1	W
20/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	3-1	4	2	W
16/09	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	2-0	1	5	W
13/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	5-0	–	–	W
05/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
30/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
26/08	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-2	5	0	D
22/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	6	1	W

MTK Hungaria (W)

WWWDDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	2-3	4	6	L
26/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-1	4-1	14	2	W
19/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
16/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
12/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
05/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
26/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
22/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
15/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	7-0	–	–	W
08/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kispest Honved (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MTK Hungaria (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Kispest Honved (W) 31%, draw 25%, MTK Hungaria (W) 44%.

How many goals are expected in Kispest Honved (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Kispest Honved (W) 1.2 · MTK Hungaria (W) 1.46), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kispest Honved (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.