Football · Hungary NBI Women · 25/10, 13:00

Prediction: Fehervar FC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Team pages: Fehervar FC (W) · Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Fehervar FC (W)1.52

Szent Mihaly SE (W)1.9

1X2

31% 23% 47%

Fehervar FC (W) Draw Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Fehervar FC (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWLLL

Szent Mihaly SE (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLLLWL

Head-to-head

Fehervar FC (W) 1–1–4 Szent Mihaly SE (W) (6 last)

Szent Mihaly SE (W)0-1Fehervar FC (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)6-0Fehervar FC (W)
Fehervar FC (W)0-2Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Fehervar FC (W)0-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)3-1Fehervar FC (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)1-0Fehervar FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fehervar FC (W) 1417 · Szent Mihaly SE (W) 1472

	Fehervar FC (W)	Draw	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Our model	30%	24%	46%
Market	31%	21%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Szent Mihaly SE (W) (rating 1417 vs 1472).
H2H favours Szent Mihaly SE (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fehervar FC (W)	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 5.5	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 2.6	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/13/75%	43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.6 / 1.4	1.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X4.20

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 1.6 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
03:53 +7’	2.88	4.20	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fehervar FC (W) 1–1–4 Szent Mihaly SE (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-1	Fehervar FC (W)
10/03/24 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	6-0	Fehervar FC (W)
02/09/23 Hungary NBI Women	Fehervar FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
06/05/23 Hungary NBI Women	Fehervar FC (W)	0-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
29/10/22 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	3-1 HT 3-0	Fehervar FC (W)
19/10/22 Hungary Cup Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Fehervar FC (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	11	8	2	1	29	8	26
2	Gyor Eto FC (W)	11	8	1	2	35	6	25
3	Ujpest (W)	11	8	1	2	24	7	25
4	Puskas FC (W)	11	7	2	2	53	14	23
5	MTK Hungaria (W)	11	7	2	2	20	6	23
6	Kispest Honved (W)	11	7	1	3	31	8	22
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	11	4	2	5	14	19	14
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	11	3	1	7	10	22	10
9	Fehervar FC (W)	11	3	0	8	13	55	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	11	2	2	7	9	18	8
11	Szekszardi (W)	11	1	0	10	3	40	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	11	1	0	10	14	52	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fehervar FC (W)	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Astra HFC (W)	1-2 L	0-0 D
Kispest Honved (W)	0-9 L	1-6 L
Diosgyori VTK (W)	5-2 W	1-0 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	0-3 L	2-3 L
Ujpest (W)	1-3 L	0-1 L
Gyor Eto FC (W)	0-9 L	0-4 L
Pecsi MFC (W)	2-3 L	2-0 W
Szekszardi (W)	3-0 W	3-0 W
MTK Hungaria (W)	0-7 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 7 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Szent Mihaly SE (W) (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fehervar FC (W)

LWLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	1-2	2	0	L
26/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-5	0-9	2	1	L
19/09	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-6	0-17	0	0	L
16/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	5-2	4	4	W
12/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-3	0	0	L
06/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	1-3	1	3	L
29/08	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	0-9	0	1	L
26/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	3-0	2	0	W
15/08	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-7	–	–	L

Szent Mihaly SE (W)

LDLWWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-3	1-6	0	4	L
19/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-3	3	5	L
12/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
05/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-4	–	–	L
30/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
26/08	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
22/08	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
16/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
08/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fehervar FC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Szent Mihaly SE (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Fehervar FC (W) 31%, draw 23%, Szent Mihaly SE (W) 47%.

How many goals are expected in Fehervar FC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Fehervar FC (W) 1.52 · Szent Mihaly SE (W) 1.9), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Fehervar FC (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.