Football · Hungary NBI Women · 25/10, 13:30

Prediction: Astra HFC (W) vs Ujpest (W)

Team pages: Astra HFC (W) · Ujpest (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Astra HFC (W)0.78

Ujpest (W)2.14

1X2

13% 18% 69%

Astra HFC (W) Draw Ujpest (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Astra HFC (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLLLLW

Ujpest (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Astra HFC (W) 3–1 Ujpest (W) (4 last)

Ujpest (W)2-1Astra HFC (W)
Astra HFC (W)3-0Ujpest (W)
Ujpest (W)2-4Astra HFC (W)
Ujpest (W)0-6Astra HFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Astra HFC (W) 1438 · Ujpest (W) 1578

	Astra HFC (W)	Draw	Ujpest (W)
Our model	12%	21%	68%
Market	14%	16%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest (W) (rating 1438 vs 1578).
H2H favours Astra HFC (W): 3-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Astra HFC (W)	Ujpest (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	2.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/38/25%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.1	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.50

X5.50

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.85

2 (-1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 11.00▲	Bet365 11.00
X	5.50 → 7.00▲	Bet365 7.00
2	1.28 → 1.17▼	Bet365 1.17

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:50 +11’	6.50	5.50	1.28
06:22 +3’	11.00▲	7.00▲	1.17▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Astra HFC (W) 3–0–1 Ujpest (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Astra HFC (W)
26/03/23 Hungary NBI Women	Astra HFC (W)	3-0	Ujpest (W)
11/09/22 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	2-4	Astra HFC (W)
16/05/18 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	0-6 HT 0-1	Astra HFC (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	11	8	2	1	29	8	26
2	Gyor Eto FC (W)	11	8	1	2	35	6	25
3	Ujpest (W)	11	8	1	2	24	7	25
4	Puskas FC (W)	11	7	2	2	53	14	23
5	MTK Hungaria (W)	11	7	2	2	20	6	23
6	Kispest Honved (W)	11	7	1	3	31	8	22
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	11	4	2	5	14	19	14
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	11	3	1	7	10	22	10
9	Fehervar FC (W)	11	3	0	8	13	55	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	11	2	2	7	9	18	8
11	Szekszardi (W)	11	1	0	10	3	40	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	11	1	0	10	14	52	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Astra HFC (W)	Ujpest (W)
Fehervar FC (W)	2-1 W	3-1 W
Gyor Eto FC (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Kispest Honved (W)	1-3 L	2-1 W
Pecsi MFC (W)	0-2 L	3-0 W
Puskas FC (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Szekszardi (W)	1-2 L	4-0 W
Diosgyori VTK (W)	3-2 W	7-1 W
MTK Hungaria (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 6 L	7 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ujpest (W) (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Astra HFC (W)

DLDWLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
26/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
20/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-3	2	2	L
16/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
13/09	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-2	1	2	L
05/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
26/08	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	0	1	D
23/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-2	1	0	L
16/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Ujpest (W)

LWDWWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
25/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	3-0	8	0	W
19/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	4-0	6	4	W
16/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
12/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
30/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
26/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
22/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	7-1	12	4	W
15/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Astra HFC (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ujpest (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Astra HFC (W) 13%, draw 18%, Ujpest (W) 69%.

How many goals are expected in Astra HFC (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Astra HFC (W) 0.78 · Ujpest (W) 2.14), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Astra HFC (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.