Football · Hungary NBI Women · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: Pecsi MFC (W) vs Fehervar FC (W)

Team pages: Pecsi MFC (W) · Fehervar FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.11Total

Pecsi MFC (W)2.86

Fehervar FC (W)1.25

1X2

69% 17% 13%

Pecsi MFC (W) Draw Fehervar FC (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Pecsi MFC (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Fehervar FC (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Pecsi MFC (W) 1–0 Fehervar FC (W) (1 last)

Fehervar FC (W)2-3Pecsi MFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pecsi MFC (W) 1468 · Fehervar FC (W) 1394

	Pecsi MFC (W)	Draw	Fehervar FC (W)
Our model	70%	17%	14%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pecsi MFC (W) (rating 1468 vs 1394).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pecsi MFC (W)	Fehervar FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	1 / 6.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.1 / 2.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/11/89%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.1	0.7 / 1.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.1	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 1.35 · xG: 4.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:50 +14’	1.30	5.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pecsi MFC (W) 1–0–0 Fehervar FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	Fehervar FC (W)	2-3	Pecsi MFC (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	13	10	2	1	31	8	32
2	Gyor Eto FC (W)	13	10	1	2	48	7	31
3	Ujpest (W)	14	10	1	3	31	8	31
4	MTK Hungaria (W)	14	9	3	2	30	6	30
5	Puskas FC (W)	14	9	2	3	63	16	29
6	Kispest Honved (W)	14	9	2	3	36	9	29
7	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	14	5	1	8	16	23	16
8	Pecsi MFC (W)	14	4	3	7	15	27	15
9	Fehervar FC (W)	14	4	0	10	16	71	12
10	Astra HFC (W)	14	2	2	10	9	21	8
11	Diosgyori VTK (W)	14	1	1	12	15	69	4
12	Szekszardi (W)	14	1	0	13	5	50	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pecsi MFC (W)	Fehervar FC (W)
Kispest Honved (W)	1-3 L	0-9 L
Puskas FC (W)	0-5 L	0-17 L
Diosgyori VTK (W)	0-0 D	5-2 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	1-1 D	0-3 L
Ujpest (W)	0-3 L	1-3 L
Gyor Eto FC (W)	0-4 L	0-9 L
Astra HFC (W)	2-0 W	1-2 L
Szekszardi (W)	4-0 W	3-2 W
MTK Hungaria (W)	0-0 D	0-9 L
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-2 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Pecsi MFC (W) (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pecsi MFC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-3	1-3	3	1	L
31/10	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	0-5	0	4	L
24/10	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	11	5	D
17/10	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
25/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-3	3	0	L
19/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-4	1	1	L
16/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
12/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	4-0	6	4	W
05/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
30/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	1	2	L

Fehervar FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	3-2	–	–	W
30/10	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	0-9	1	0	L
25/10	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-5	1	0	L
18/10	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	1-2	2	0	L
26/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-5	0-9	2	1	L
19/09	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-6	0-17	0	0	L
16/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	5-2	4	4	W
12/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-3	0	0	L
06/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	1-3	1	3	L
29/08	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	0-9	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pecsi MFC (W) vs Fehervar FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pecsi MFC (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Pecsi MFC (W) 69%, draw 17%, Fehervar FC (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Pecsi MFC (W) vs Fehervar FC (W)?

The model expects 4.11 goals (Pecsi MFC (W) 2.86 · Fehervar FC (W) 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pecsi MFC (W) vs Fehervar FC (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.