Football · Hungary NBI Women · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: Ujpest (W) vs Puskas FC (W)

Team pages: Ujpest (W) · Puskas FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Ujpest (W)1.57

Puskas FC (W)1.91

1X2

31% 24% 45%

Ujpest (W) Draw Puskas FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Ujpest (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWLW

Puskas FC (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Ujpest (W) 0–1–4 Puskas FC (W) (5 last)

Puskas FC (W)1-1Ujpest (W)
Ujpest (W)0-7Puskas FC (W)
Puskas FC (W)6-1Ujpest (W)
Ujpest (W)2-5Puskas FC (W)
Puskas FC (W)5-0Ujpest (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ujpest (W) 1563 · Puskas FC (W) 1568

	Ujpest (W)	Draw	Puskas FC (W)
Our model	31%	24%	45%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Puskas FC (W): 4-1-0.
High corners: 14.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ujpest (W)	Puskas FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.4	4.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0	1.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	71/14/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	5.4 / 9.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.70

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:54 +10’	2.90	3.70	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ujpest (W) 0–1–4 Puskas FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/08/26 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Ujpest (W)
01/04/26 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	0-7 HT 0-1	Puskas FC (W)
27/09/25 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	6-1 HT 4-0	Ujpest (W)
19/03/23 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	2-5	Puskas FC (W)
27/08/22 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	5-0 HT 0-0	Ujpest (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	13	10	2	1	31	8	32
2	Gyor Eto FC (W)	13	10	1	2	48	7	31
3	Ujpest (W)	14	10	1	3	31	8	31
4	MTK Hungaria (W)	14	9	3	2	30	6	30
5	Puskas FC (W)	14	9	2	3	63	16	29
6	Kispest Honved (W)	14	9	2	3	36	9	29
7	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	14	5	1	8	16	23	16
8	Pecsi MFC (W)	14	4	3	7	15	27	15
9	Fehervar FC (W)	14	4	0	10	16	71	12
10	Astra HFC (W)	14	2	2	10	9	21	8
11	Diosgyori VTK (W)	14	1	1	12	15	69	4
12	Szekszardi (W)	14	1	0	13	5	50	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ujpest (W)	Puskas FC (W)
Diosgyori VTK (W)	6-0 W	10-2 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Astra HFC (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Gyor Eto FC (W)	1-0 W	0-2 L
Pecsi MFC (W)	3-0 W	5-0 W
Szekszardi (W)	4-0 W	5-0 W
MTK Hungaria (W)	0-1 L	3-2 W
Fehervar FC (W)	3-1 W	17-0 W
Kispest Honved (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Puskas FC (W) (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ujpest (W)

WWWLWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	5-0	6-0	8	2	W
31/10	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
25/10	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
17/10	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
25/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	3-0	8	0	W
19/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	4-0	6	4	W
16/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
12/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
30/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	2-1	6	2	W

Puskas FC (W)

DDWWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/10	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
24/10	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	5-0	14	0	W
17/10	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	3-2	5	6	W
19/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	6-0	17-0	18	0	W
16/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-2	11	5	L
13/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	2-1	16	2	W
05/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	10-2	–	–	W
29/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-2	7	0	D
26/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ujpest (W) vs Puskas FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Puskas FC (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Ujpest (W) 31%, draw 24%, Puskas FC (W) 45%.

How many goals are expected in Ujpest (W) vs Puskas FC (W)?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Ujpest (W) 1.57 · Puskas FC (W) 1.91), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ujpest (W) vs Puskas FC (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.