Football · Hungary NBI Women · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: Gyor Eto FC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)

Team pages: Gyor Eto FC (W) · MTK Hungaria (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Gyor Eto FC (W)1.84

MTK Hungaria (W)1.12

1X2

53% 26% 22%

Gyor Eto FC (W) Draw MTK Hungaria (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gyor Eto FC (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWDWW

MTK Hungaria (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWWWDD

Head-to-head

Gyor Eto FC (W) 3–2–1 MTK Hungaria (W) (6 last)

Gyor Eto FC (W)1-0MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)1-2Gyor Eto FC (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)2-2Gyor Eto FC (W)
Gyor Eto FC (W)0-2MTK Hungaria (W)
Gyor Eto FC (W)2-2MTK Hungaria (W)
Gyor Eto FC (W)4-0MTK Hungaria (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyor Eto FC (W) 1604 · MTK Hungaria (W) 1513

	Gyor Eto FC (W)	Draw	MTK Hungaria (W)
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyor Eto FC (W) (rating 1604 vs 1513).
H2H favours Gyor Eto FC (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyor Eto FC (W)	MTK Hungaria (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.8 / 0.6	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	71/14/14%	11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.7	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.40

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.60 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
08:34 +9’	1.70	3.60	4.00
13:36 +7’	1.70	3.40▼	4.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyor Eto FC (W) 3–2–1 MTK Hungaria (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Hungary NBI Women	Gyor Eto FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	MTK Hungaria (W)
23/05/26 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Gyor Eto FC (W)
25/04/26 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Gyor Eto FC (W)
15/10/25 Hungary NBI Women	Gyor Eto FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	MTK Hungaria (W)
24/04/25 Hungary Cup Women	Gyor Eto FC (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	MTK Hungaria (W)
24/03/25 Hungary NBI Women	Gyor Eto FC (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	MTK Hungaria (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MTK Hungaria (W)	6	4	2	0	12	0	14
2	Gyor Eto FC (W)	5	4	1	0	23	4	13
3	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	5	4	1	0	13	2	13
4	Ujpest (W)	6	4	1	1	15	6	13
5	Puskas FC (W)	6	3	2	1	25	8	11
6	Kispest Honved (W)	6	2	1	3	6	6	7
7	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	6	2	1	3	5	6	7
8	Pecsi MFC (W)	6	2	1	3	7	11	7
9	Fehervar FC (W)	6	2	0	4	7	22	6
10	Astra HFC (W)	6	1	2	3	5	8	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	6	1	0	5	2	18	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	6	0	0	6	7	36	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyor Eto FC (W)	MTK Hungaria (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	4-0 W	1-0 W
Fehervar FC (W)	9-0 W	7-0 W
Kispest Honved (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Pecsi MFC (W)	7-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gyor Eto FC (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyor Eto FC (W)

DWWWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	4-0	–	–	W
29/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	9-0	8	1	W
26/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	2-2	6	0	D
22/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-1	6	3	W
15/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	5-1	–	–	W
27/05	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
23/05	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
15/05	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	7-0	7	0	W
09/05	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	5-1	7	3	W
06/05	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-0	–	–	D

MTK Hungaria (W)

LWLLLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
26/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
22/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
15/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	7-0	–	–	W
08/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
27/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
23/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
16/05	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-2	2-3	4	2	L
09/05	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
02/05	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-2	1-5	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyor Eto FC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyor Eto FC (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Gyor Eto FC (W) 53%, draw 26%, MTK Hungaria (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Gyor Eto FC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Gyor Eto FC (W) 1.84 · MTK Hungaria (W) 1.12), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyor Eto FC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.