Football · Hungary NBI Women · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Kispest Honved (W) vs Puskas FC (W)

Team pages: Kispest Honved (W) · Puskas FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Kispest Honved (W)1.16

Puskas FC (W)2.13

1X2

19% 22% 58%

Kispest Honved (W) Draw Puskas FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kispest Honved (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWDLLW

Puskas FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLDDWW

Head-to-head

Kispest Honved (W) 0–1–3 Puskas FC (W) (4 last)

Puskas FC (W)0-0Kispest Honved (W)
Kispest Honved (W)1-3Puskas FC (W)
Puskas FC (W)3-0Kispest Honved (W)
Kispest Honved (W)0-3Puskas FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kispest Honved (W) 1521 · Puskas FC (W) 1516

	Kispest Honved (W)	Draw	Puskas FC (W)
Our model	19%	22%	58%
Market	19%	23%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Puskas FC (W): 3-1-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kispest Honved (W)	Puskas FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	2.9 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/38/25%	38/13/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 6.3	3.6 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.00

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:54 +35’	4.75	4.00	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kispest Honved (W) 0–1–3 Puskas FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	0-0	Kispest Honved (W)
06/09/25 Hungary NBI Women	Kispest Honved (W)	1-3 HT 1-2	Puskas FC (W)
19/04/25 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Kispest Honved (W)
19/10/24 Hungary NBI Women	Kispest Honved (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Puskas FC (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MTK Hungaria (W)	7	5	2	0	13	0	17
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	6	5	1	0	16	2	16
3	Ujpest (W)	7	5	1	1	16	6	16
4	Puskas FC (W)	7	4	2	1	27	9	14
5	Gyor Eto FC (W)	6	4	1	1	23	5	13
6	Kispest Honved (W)	7	3	1	3	11	6	10
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	7	3	1	3	11	11	10
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	7	2	1	4	5	7	7
9	Fehervar FC (W)	7	2	0	5	7	25	6
10	Astra HFC (W)	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	7	1	0	6	2	22	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	7	0	0	7	7	41	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kispest Honved (W)	Puskas FC (W)
Diosgyori VTK (W)	5-0 W	10-2 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Ujpest (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Gyor Eto FC (W)	2-2 D	1-3 L
Pecsi MFC (W)	1-0 W	5-0 W
Szekszardi (W)	2-0 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Puskas FC (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kispest Honved (W)

DDWLWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	5-0	–	–	W
05/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
30/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
26/08	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-2	5	0	D
22/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
08/08	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
16/05	Budaorsi SC (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	4-0	11	2	W
08/05	Viktoria FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	1-1	12	0	D
03/05	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	2-2	12	1	D

Puskas FC (W)

LLLWWLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	2-1	16	2	W
05/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	10-2	–	–	W
29/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-2	7	0	D
26/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
22/08	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	1-3	7	3	L
15/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	5-0	6	1	W
08/08	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	6-0	–	–	W
28/05	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	0-8	2	1	L
23/05	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	2-6	3	4	L
16/05	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kispest Honved (W) vs Puskas FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Puskas FC (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Kispest Honved (W) 19%, draw 22%, Puskas FC (W) 58%.

How many goals are expected in Kispest Honved (W) vs Puskas FC (W)?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Kispest Honved (W) 1.16 · Puskas FC (W) 2.13), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kispest Honved (W) vs Puskas FC (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.