Football · Hungary NBI Women · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Ujpest (W) vs Szekszardi (W)

Team pages: Ujpest (W) · Szekszardi (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Ujpest (W)2.99

Szekszardi (W)0.99

1X2

83% 11% 6%

Ujpest (W) Draw Szekszardi (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-0 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Ujpest (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDWWWL

Szekszardi (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Ujpest (W) 3–1 Szekszardi (W) (4 last)

Ujpest (W)4-1Szekszardi (W)
Szekszardi (W)1-4Ujpest (W)
Szekszardi (W)7-0Ujpest (W)
Ujpest (W)2-1Szekszardi (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ujpest (W) 1551 · Szekszardi (W) 1392

	Ujpest (W)	Draw	Szekszardi (W)
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	87%	9%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest (W) (rating 1551 vs 1392).
H2H favours Ujpest (W): 3-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ujpest (W)	Szekszardi (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1	0.7 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	0/25/75%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	1.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.07

X11.00

223.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.90

2 (+3.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.07▲	Bet365 1.07
X	13.00 → 11.00▼	Bet365 11.00
2	21.00 → 23.00▲	Bet365 23.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:35 +8’	1.04	13.00	21.00
08:26 +11’	1.07▲	11.00▼	23.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ujpest (W) 3–0–1 Szekszardi (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	4-1 HT 4-0	Szekszardi (W)
15/11/25 Hungary NBI Women	Szekszardi (W)	1-4 HT 0-1	Ujpest (W)
06/05/23 Hungary NBI Women	Szekszardi (W)	7-0	Ujpest (W)
29/10/22 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Szekszardi (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MTK Hungaria (W)	8	6	2	0	14	0	20
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	7	6	1	0	19	4	19
3	Gyor Eto FC (W)	7	5	1	1	26	5	16
4	Ujpest (W)	8	5	1	2	16	7	16
5	Puskas FC (W)	8	4	2	2	27	11	14
6	Kispest Honved (W)	8	4	1	3	13	6	13
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	8	4	1	3	13	11	13
8	Fehervar FC (W)	8	3	0	5	12	27	9
9	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	8	2	1	5	7	10	7
10	Astra HFC (W)	8	1	2	5	6	12	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	8	1	0	7	2	25	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	8	0	0	8	9	46	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ujpest (W)	Szekszardi (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	1-0 W	0-3 L
Fehervar FC (W)	3-1 W	0-3 L
Kispest Honved (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
Puskas FC (W)	1-1 D	0-6 L
Diosgyori VTK (W)	7-1 W	3-0 W
Astra HFC (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ujpest (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ujpest (W)

LWWLWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
12/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
30/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
26/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
22/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	7-1	12	4	W
15/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
08/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	2-1	10	1	W
16/05	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	4-1	6	1	W
09/05	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-2	0	5	L

Szekszardi (W)

WLLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-3	0	0	L
12/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	0-4	3	4	L
05/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
22/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-3	10	0	L
15/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	1	1	L
08/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-6	–	–	L
16/05	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-4	1-4	3	1	L
09/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	1-5	2	3	L
02/05	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	3-0	9	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ujpest (W) vs Szekszardi (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ujpest (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Ujpest (W) 83%, draw 11%, Szekszardi (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Ujpest (W) vs Szekszardi (W)?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Ujpest (W) 2.99 · Szekszardi (W) 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Ujpest (W) vs Szekszardi (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.