Football · Hungary NBI Women · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)

Team pages: Szent Mihaly SE (W) · Ferencvarosi TC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Szent Mihaly SE (W)0.6

Ferencvarosi TC (W)2.6

1X2

5% 12% 83%

Szent Mihaly SE (W) Draw Ferencvarosi TC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Szent Mihaly SE (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Ferencvarosi TC (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Szent Mihaly SE (W) 0–6 Ferencvarosi TC (W) (6 last)

Ferencvarosi TC (W)5-1Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)0-1Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)3-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)0-6Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)0-3Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)6-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szent Mihaly SE (W) 1469 · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 1608

	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	Draw	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Our model	6%	15%	80%
Market	5%	10%	85%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (W) (rating 1469 vs 1608).
H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	3.7 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/43/14%	78/11/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.4	2.9 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

119.00

X9.50

21.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.88

2 (-2.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	19.00 → 19.00	Bet365 19.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:52 +7’	19.00	9.50	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szent Mihaly SE (W) 0–0–6 Ferencvarosi TC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	5-1 HT 4-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
08/11/25 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
11/05/25 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	3-0 HT 3-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
16/11/24 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-6 HT 0-4	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
23/03/24 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-3	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
16/09/23 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	6-0 HT 5-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MTK Hungaria (W)	7	5	2	0	13	0	17
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	6	5	1	0	16	2	16
3	Ujpest (W)	7	5	1	1	16	6	16
4	Puskas FC (W)	7	4	2	1	27	9	14
5	Gyor Eto FC (W)	6	4	1	1	23	5	13
6	Kispest Honved (W)	7	3	1	3	11	6	10
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	7	3	1	3	11	11	10
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	7	2	1	4	5	7	7
9	Fehervar FC (W)	7	2	0	5	7	25	6
10	Astra HFC (W)	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	7	1	0	6	2	22	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	7	0	0	7	7	41	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ujpest (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Astra HFC (W)	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szent Mihaly SE (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
05/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-4	–	–	L
30/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
26/08	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
22/08	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
16/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
08/08	MOL Fehervar FC Women Hungary NBI Women	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-1	3-2	4	2	W
09/05	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-4	1-5	0	1	L
06/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-0	–	–	D

Ferencvarosi TC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
05/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	2-2	5	0	D
26/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	7-0	8	0	W
23/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-0	9	0	W
15/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
28/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	8-0	5	1	W
23/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	6-2	4	4	W
16/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	8	1	W
09/05	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	5-1	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferencvarosi TC (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Szent Mihaly SE (W) 5%, draw 12%, Ferencvarosi TC (W) 83%.

How many goals are expected in Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Szent Mihaly SE (W) 0.6 · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 2.6), with a 59% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Szent Mihaly SE (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.