Football · Hungary NBI Women · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)

Team pages: Ferencvarosi TC (W) · MTK Hungaria (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Ferencvarosi TC (W)2.02

MTK Hungaria (W)0.87

1X2

64% 22% 15%

Ferencvarosi TC (W) Draw MTK Hungaria (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Ferencvarosi TC (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWW

MTK Hungaria (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Ferencvarosi TC (W) 4–1–1 MTK Hungaria (W) (6 last)

Ferencvarosi TC (W)5-1MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)0-2Ferencvarosi TC (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)1-2Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)2-0MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)1-0Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)1-1MTK Hungaria (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 1622 · MTK Hungaria (W) 1529

	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	Draw	MTK Hungaria (W)
Our model	63%	22%	14%
Market	64%	21%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (W) (rating 1622 vs 1529).
H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	MTK Hungaria (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.5 / 0.6	1.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/11/22%	11/67/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.2	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.20

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:56 +44’	1.40	4.20	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 4–1–1 MTK Hungaria (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	5-1 HT 2-1	MTK Hungaria (W)
02/11/25 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
23/11/24 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
24/08/24 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	MTK Hungaria (W)
20/03/24 Hungary Cup Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
02/03/24 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	MTK Hungaria (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MTK Hungaria (W)	8	6	2	0	14	0	20
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	7	6	1	0	19	4	19
3	Gyor Eto FC (W)	7	5	1	1	26	5	16
4	Ujpest (W)	8	5	1	2	16	7	16
5	Puskas FC (W)	8	4	2	2	27	11	14
6	Kispest Honved (W)	8	4	1	3	13	6	13
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	8	4	1	3	13	11	13
8	Fehervar FC (W)	8	3	0	5	12	27	9
9	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	8	2	1	5	7	10	7
10	Astra HFC (W)	8	1	2	5	6	12	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	8	1	0	7	2	25	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	8	0	0	8	9	46	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	MTK Hungaria (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	3-2 W	1-0 W
Fehervar FC (W)	3-0 W	7-0 W
Kispest Honved (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Astra HFC (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Ujpest (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferencvarosi TC (W)

WWWWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	3-2	4	5	W
12/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
05/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	2-2	5	0	D
26/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	7-0	8	0	W
23/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-0	9	0	W
15/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
28/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	8-0	5	1	W
23/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	6-2	4	4	W
16/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	8	1	W

MTK Hungaria (W)

LLLWWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
12/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
05/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
26/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
22/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
15/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	7-0	–	–	W
08/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
27/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
23/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
16/05	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-2	2-3	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferencvarosi TC (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Ferencvarosi TC (W) 64%, draw 22%, MTK Hungaria (W) 15%.

How many goals are expected in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Ferencvarosi TC (W) 2.02 · MTK Hungaria (W) 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.