Football · Hungary NBI Women · 25/09, 13:00

Prediction: Pecsi MFC (W) vs Ujpest (W)

Team pages: Pecsi MFC (W) · Ujpest (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Pecsi MFC (W)0.77
Ujpest (W)2.31
1X2
11% 18% 72%
Pecsi MFC (W) Draw Ujpest (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pecsi MFC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLDWWL
Ujpest (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWDWWWLW
Head-to-head
Pecsi MFC (W) 1–1–0 Ujpest (W) (2 last)
  • Pecsi MFC (W)1-1Ujpest (W)
  • Ujpest (W)0-1Pecsi MFC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pecsi MFC (W) 1484 · Ujpest (W) 1561
Pecsi MFC (W)DrawUjpest (W)
Our model10%19%71%
Market11%16%72%
Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest (W) (rating 1484 vs 1561).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pecsi MFC (W)Ujpest (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 2.22.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.31 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/25/50%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 2.32.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 02.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pecsi MFC (W) 1–1–0 Ujpest (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/11/25
Hungary NBI Women
Pecsi MFC (W)1-1
HT 0-1
Ujpest (W)
23/08/25
Hungary NBI Women
Ujpest (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Pecsi MFC (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ferencvarosi TC (W) 8710 21422
2 Ujpest (W) 10712 23722
3 MTK Hungaria (W) 9621 14220
4 Gyor Eto FC (W) 8611 30519
5 Puskas FC (W) 9522 441117
6 Kispest Honved (W) 9513 16716
7 Pecsi MFC (W) 10415 131813
8 Szent Mihaly SE (W) 9315 81010
9 Fehervar FC (W) 9306 12449
10 Astra HFC (W) 9126 7155
11 Szekszardi (W) 9108 2293
12 Diosgyori VTK (W) 9009 9470

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPecsi MFC (W)Ujpest (W)
Astra HFC (W) 2-0 W 2-1 W
Szekszardi (W) 4-0 W 4-0 W
MTK Hungaria (W) 0-0 D 0-1 L
Szent Mihaly SE (W) 0-2 L 1-0 W
Fehervar FC (W) 3-2 W 3-1 W
Kispest Honved (W) 0-1 L 2-1 W
Puskas FC (W) 0-5 L 1-1 D
Diosgyori VTK (W) 4-1 W 7-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ujpest (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pecsi MFC (W)

LWLLWLDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Gyor Eto FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-2 0-4 11 L
16/09 Astra HFC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-0 2-0 12 W
12/09 Szekszardi (W)
Hungary NBI Women
3-0 4-0 64 W
05/09 MTK Hungaria (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-0 0-0 31 D
30/08 Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-1 0-2 12 L
26/08 Fehervar FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
– 3-2 –– W
22/08 Kispest Honved (W)
Hungary NBI Women
– 0-1 –– L
15/08 Puskas FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-2 0-5 11 L
08/08 Diosgyori VTK (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-1 4-1 32 W
15/05 Gyor Eto FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-4 0-7 20 L

Ujpest (W)

WWLWDWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Szekszardi (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-0 4-0 64 W
16/09 MTK Hungaria (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-0 0-1 22 L
12/09 Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-0 1-0 73 W
06/09 Fehervar FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
2-0 3-1 23 W
30/08 Kispest Honved (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-0 2-1 62 W
26/08 Puskas FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-1 1-1 35 D
22/08 Diosgyori VTK (W)
Hungary NBI Women
3-0 7-1 124 W
15/08 Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-1 0-1 32 L
08/08 Astra HFC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-1 2-1 101 W
16/05 Szekszardi (W)
Hungary NBI Women
4-0 4-1 61 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pecsi MFC (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ujpest (W) win (72%). Probabilities: Pecsi MFC (W) 11%, draw 18%, Ujpest (W) 72%.

How many goals are expected in Pecsi MFC (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Pecsi MFC (W) 0.77 · Ujpest (W) 2.31), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pecsi MFC (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.