Football · Hungary NBI Women · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Puskas FC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)

Team pages: Puskas FC (W) · MTK Hungaria (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Puskas FC (W)1.78

MTK Hungaria (W)1.36

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Puskas FC (W) Draw MTK Hungaria (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Puskas FC (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDWWLW

MTK Hungaria (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDWWLW

Head-to-head

Puskas FC (W) 2–3–1 MTK Hungaria (W) (6 last)

Puskas FC (W)0-0MTK Hungaria (W)
Puskas FC (W)2-1MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)2-1Puskas FC (W)
Puskas FC (W)2-0MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)1-1Puskas FC (W)
Puskas FC (W)1-1MTK Hungaria (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puskas FC (W) 1549 · MTK Hungaria (W) 1567

	Puskas FC (W)	Draw	MTK Hungaria (W)
Our model	46%	25%	28%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Puskas FC (W): 2-3-1.
High corners: 14.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puskas FC (W)	MTK Hungaria (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	4.4 / 1.9	1.5 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/13/38%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	5.9 / 8.8	2.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.3	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 1.35 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +14’	1.95	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Puskas FC (W) 2–3–1 MTK Hungaria (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	MTK Hungaria (W)
03/10/25 Hungary Cup Women	Puskas FC (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	MTK Hungaria (W)
30/08/25 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Puskas FC (W)
24/05/25 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	2-0	MTK Hungaria (W)
21/05/25 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Puskas FC (W)
17/05/25 Hungary NBI Women	Puskas FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	MTK Hungaria (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyor Eto FC (W)	10	8	1	1	35	5	25
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	10	8	1	1	28	7	25
3	MTK Hungaria (W)	10	7	2	1	18	3	23
4	Ujpest (W)	10	7	1	2	23	7	22
5	Puskas FC (W)	10	6	2	2	50	12	20
6	Kispest Honved (W)	10	6	1	3	25	7	19
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	10	4	1	5	13	18	13
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	10	3	1	6	9	16	10
9	Fehervar FC (W)	10	3	0	7	12	53	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	10	1	2	7	7	17	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	10	1	0	9	2	36	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	10	0	0	10	10	51	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puskas FC (W)	MTK Hungaria (W)
Fehervar FC (W)	17-0 W	7-0 W
Kispest Honved (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Astra HFC (W)	2-1 W	0-0 D
Diosgyori VTK (W)	10-2 W	4-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
Ujpest (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Gyor Eto FC (W)	1-3 L	1-0 W
Pecsi MFC (W)	5-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Puskas FC (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puskas FC (W)

LWWLDDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	6-0	17-0	18	0	W
16/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-2	11	5	L
13/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	2-1	16	2	W
05/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	10-2	–	–	W
29/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-2	7	0	D
26/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
22/08	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	1-3	7	3	L
15/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	5-0	6	1	W
08/08	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	6-0	–	–	W
28/05	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	0-8	2	1	L

MTK Hungaria (W)

LWWWDDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-1	4-1	14	2	W
19/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
16/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
12/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
05/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
26/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
22/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
15/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	7-0	–	–	W
08/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
27/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puskas FC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puskas FC (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Puskas FC (W) 46%, draw 26%, MTK Hungaria (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Puskas FC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Puskas FC (W) 1.78 · MTK Hungaria (W) 1.36), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Puskas FC (W) vs MTK Hungaria (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.