Football · Hungary NBI Women · 24/10, 13:00
Prediction: Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)
Team pages: Diosgyori VTK (W) · Pecsi MFC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
Diosgyori VTK (W)1.41
Pecsi MFC (W)2.25
1X2
Diosgyori VTK (W)
Draw
Pecsi MFC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Diosgyori VTK (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Pecsi MFC (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Diosgyori VTK (W)
1–3–1
Pecsi MFC (W)
(5 last)
- Pecsi MFC (W)4-1Diosgyori VTK (W)
- Pecsi MFC (W)1-1Diosgyori VTK (W)
- Diosgyori VTK (W)3-2Pecsi MFC (W)
- Pecsi MFC (W)0-0Diosgyori VTK (W)
- Diosgyori VTK (W)0-0Pecsi MFC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diosgyori VTK (W) 1393 · Pecsi MFC (W) 1474
| Diosgyori VTK (W) | Draw | Pecsi MFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 22% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 22% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pecsi MFC (W) (rating 1393 vs 1474).
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Diosgyori VTK (W) | Pecsi MFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 4.8 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 2.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 25/38/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.4 | 1 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diosgyori VTK (W) 1–3–1 Pecsi MFC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Hungary NBI Women | Pecsi MFC (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Diosgyori VTK (W) |
| 09/05/26 Hungary NBI Women | Pecsi MFC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Diosgyori VTK (W) |
| 08/11/25 Hungary NBI Women | Diosgyori VTK (W) | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Pecsi MFC (W) |
| 10/05/25 Hungary NBI Women | Pecsi MFC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Diosgyori VTK (W) |
| 16/11/24 Hungary NBI Women | Diosgyori VTK (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pecsi MFC (W) |
Standings · Hungary NBI Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Gyor Eto FC (W) | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Ujpest (W) | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Puskas FC (W) | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | MTK Hungaria (W) | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | Kispest Honved (W) | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 8 | 22 |
| 7 | Pecsi MFC (W) | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 14 |
| 8 | Szent Mihaly SE (W) | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 10 |
| 9 | Fehervar FC (W) | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 9 |
| 10 | Astra HFC (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 8 |
| 11 | Szekszardi (W) | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 40 | 3 |
| 12 | Diosgyori VTK (W) | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 3 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Diosgyori VTK (W) | Pecsi MFC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Szekszardi (W) | 4-1 W | 4-0 W |
| MTK Hungaria (W) | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Szent Mihaly SE (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Fehervar FC (W) | 2-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Kispest Honved (W) | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Puskas FC (W) | 2-10 L | 0-5 L |
| Astra HFC (W) | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Ferencvarosi TC (W) | 0-7 L | 1-1 D |
| Ujpest (W) | 1-7 L | 0-3 L |
| Gyor Eto FC (W) | 1-5 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 9 L | 3 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Pecsi MFC (W) (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diosgyori VTK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-4 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-1 | 2-5 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
– | 2-10 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/08 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-3 | 1-7 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
Pecsi MFC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/09 | Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/09 | Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/08 | Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pecsi MFC (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Diosgyori VTK (W) 22%, draw 22%, Pecsi MFC (W) 55%.
How many goals are expected in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Diosgyori VTK (W) 1.41 · Pecsi MFC (W) 2.25), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.