Football · Hungary NBI Women · 16/09, 13:00

Prediction: MTK Hungaria (W) vs Ujpest (W)

Team pages: MTK Hungaria (W) · Ujpest (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

MTK Hungaria (W)1.59

Ujpest (W)1.01

1X2

50% 26% 24%

MTK Hungaria (W) Draw Ujpest (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

MTK Hungaria (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWDDW

Ujpest (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWDWWW

Head-to-head

MTK Hungaria (W) 5–0 Ujpest (W) (5 last)

MTK Hungaria (W)2-0Ujpest (W)
Ujpest (W)0-3MTK Hungaria (W)
Ujpest (W)0-6MTK Hungaria (W)
Ujpest (W)0-7MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)9-0Ujpest (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MTK Hungaria (W) 1540 · Ujpest (W) 1534

	MTK Hungaria (W)	Draw	Ujpest (W)
Our model	50%	27%	23%
Market	51%	25%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MTK Hungaria (W): 5-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MTK Hungaria (W)	Ujpest (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.6	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.60

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +3’	1.75	3.60	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MTK Hungaria (W) 5–0–0 Ujpest (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Ujpest (W)
08/11/25 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	MTK Hungaria (W)
05/03/25 Hungary Cup Women	Ujpest (W)	0-6 HT 0-3	MTK Hungaria (W)
01/04/23 Hungary NBI Women	Ujpest (W)	0-7	MTK Hungaria (W)
17/09/22 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	9-0	Ujpest (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MTK Hungaria (W)	7	5	2	0	13	0	17
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	6	5	1	0	16	2	16
3	Ujpest (W)	7	5	1	1	16	6	16
4	Puskas FC (W)	7	4	2	1	27	9	14
5	Gyor Eto FC (W)	6	4	1	1	23	5	13
6	Kispest Honved (W)	7	3	1	3	11	6	10
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	7	3	1	3	11	11	10
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	7	2	1	4	5	7	7
9	Fehervar FC (W)	7	2	0	5	7	25	6
10	Astra HFC (W)	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	7	1	0	6	2	22	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	7	0	0	7	7	41	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MTK Hungaria (W)	Ujpest (W)
Gyor Eto FC (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Astra HFC (W)	0-0 D	2-1 W
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Fehervar FC (W)	7-0 W	3-1 W
Kispest Honved (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MTK Hungaria (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MTK Hungaria (W)

WLLLWWWDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
05/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
26/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
22/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
15/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	7-0	–	–	W
08/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
27/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
23/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
16/05	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-2	2-3	4	2	L
09/05	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-0	8	5	W

Ujpest (W)

LLWWLWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
30/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
26/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
22/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	7-1	12	4	W
15/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
08/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	2-1	10	1	W
16/05	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	4-1	6	1	W
09/05	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-2	0	5	L
02/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	0	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MTK Hungaria (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MTK Hungaria (W) win (50%). Probabilities: MTK Hungaria (W) 50%, draw 26%, Ujpest (W) 24%.

How many goals are expected in MTK Hungaria (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

The model expects 2.6 goals (MTK Hungaria (W) 1.59 · Ujpest (W) 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MTK Hungaria (W) vs Ujpest (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.