Football · Hungary NBI Women · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: Szekszardi (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)

Team pages: Szekszardi (W) · Ferencvarosi TC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.43Total

Szekszardi (W)1.21

Ferencvarosi TC (W)3.21

1X2

5% 9% 86%

Szekszardi (W) Draw Ferencvarosi TC (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Szekszardi (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLL

Ferencvarosi TC (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Szekszardi (W) 0–6 Ferencvarosi TC (W) (6 last)

Ferencvarosi TC (W)5-1Szekszardi (W)
Szekszardi (W)0-2Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Szekszardi (W)0-8Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)5-1Szekszardi (W)
Szekszardi (W)1-2Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)8-1Szekszardi (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szekszardi (W) 1390 · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 1614

	Szekszardi (W)	Draw	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Our model	10%	14%	76%
Market	1%	4%	94%

Estimated total (ours) 4.43 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (W) (rating 1390 vs 1614).
H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szekszardi (W)	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 3.5	3.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1.5	1.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/25/75%	67/11/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.6	3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.1	1.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

167.00

X23.00

21.01

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.90

2 (-4.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.85

Under 4.751.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00
X	23.00 → 23.00	Bet365 23.00
2	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:54 +6’	67.00	23.00	1.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szekszardi (W) 0–0–6 Ferencvarosi TC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	5-1 HT 2-0	Szekszardi (W)
21/09/25 Hungary NBI Women	Szekszardi (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
03/05/25 Hungary NBI Women	Szekszardi (W)	0-8	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
09/11/24 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	5-1	Szekszardi (W)
04/05/24 Hungary NBI Women	Szekszardi (W)	1-2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
11/11/23 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	8-1 HT 4-1	Szekszardi (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	8	7	1	0	21	4	22
2	Ujpest (W)	10	7	1	2	23	7	22
3	MTK Hungaria (W)	9	6	2	1	14	2	20
4	Gyor Eto FC (W)	8	6	1	1	30	5	19
5	Puskas FC (W)	9	5	2	2	44	11	17
6	Kispest Honved (W)	9	5	1	3	16	7	16
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	10	4	1	5	13	18	13
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	9	3	1	5	8	10	10
9	Fehervar FC (W)	9	3	0	6	12	44	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	9	1	2	6	7	15	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	9	1	0	8	2	29	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	9	0	0	9	9	47	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szekszardi (W)	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ujpest (W)	0-4 L	1-0 W
Astra HFC (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-3 L	3-2 W
Fehervar FC (W)	0-3 L	3-0 W
Kispest Honved (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Puskas FC (W)	0-6 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szekszardi (W)

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-4	2	4	L
16/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-3	0	0	L
12/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	0-4	3	4	L
05/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
22/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-3	10	0	L
15/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	1	1	L
08/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-6	–	–	L
16/05	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-4	1-4	3	1	L
09/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	1-5	2	3	L

Ferencvarosi TC (W)

WWWWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
16/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	3-2	4	5	W
12/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
05/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	2-2	5	0	D
26/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	7-0	8	0	W
23/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-0	9	0	W
15/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
28/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	8-0	5	1	W
23/05	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	6-2	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szekszardi (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferencvarosi TC (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Szekszardi (W) 5%, draw 9%, Ferencvarosi TC (W) 86%.

How many goals are expected in Szekszardi (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?

The model expects 4.43 goals (Szekszardi (W) 1.21 · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 3.21), with a 54% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Szekszardi (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.