Football · Hungary NBI Women · 17/10, 11:00

Prediction: Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Szekszardi (W)

Team pages: Diosgyori VTK (W) · Szekszardi (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Diosgyori VTK (W)2.34

Szekszardi (W)1.4

1X2

57% 22% 21%

Diosgyori VTK (W) Draw Szekszardi (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Diosgyori VTK (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

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Szekszardi (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Diosgyori VTK (W) 1–3–2 Szekszardi (W) (6 last)

Szekszardi (W)3-0Diosgyori VTK (W)
Diosgyori VTK (W)1-1Szekszardi (W)
Szekszardi (W)2-2Diosgyori VTK (W)
Diosgyori VTK (W)4-1Szekszardi (W)
Szekszardi (W)2-2Diosgyori VTK (W)
Szekszardi (W)2-0Diosgyori VTK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diosgyori VTK (W) 1364 · Szekszardi (W) 1405

	Diosgyori VTK (W)	Draw	Szekszardi (W)
Our model	58%	21%	21%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Szekszardi (W) (rating 1364 vs 1405).
H2H favours Szekszardi (W): 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Diosgyori VTK (W)	Szekszardi (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 5.1	0.3 / 3.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 2.5	0 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	0/25/75%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.2	1 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 1.8 · xG: 5.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:35 +5’	1.57	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Diosgyori VTK (W) 1–3–2 Szekszardi (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Hungary NBI Women	Szekszardi (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Diosgyori VTK (W)
16/03/25 Hungary NBI Women	Diosgyori VTK (W)	1-1	Szekszardi (W)
14/09/24 Hungary NBI Women	Szekszardi (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Diosgyori VTK (W)
09/03/24 Hungary NBI Women	Diosgyori VTK (W)	4-1	Szekszardi (W)
02/09/23 Hungary NBI Women	Szekszardi (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Diosgyori VTK (W)
20/05/23 Hungary NBI Women	Szekszardi (W)	2-0	Diosgyori VTK (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyor Eto FC (W)	10	8	1	1	35	5	25
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	10	8	1	1	28	7	25
3	MTK Hungaria (W)	10	7	2	1	18	3	23
4	Ujpest (W)	10	7	1	2	23	7	22
5	Puskas FC (W)	10	6	2	2	50	12	20
6	Kispest Honved (W)	10	6	1	3	25	7	19
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	10	4	1	5	13	18	13
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	10	3	1	6	9	16	10
9	Fehervar FC (W)	10	3	0	7	12	53	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	10	1	2	7	7	17	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	10	1	0	9	2	36	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	10	0	0	10	10	51	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Diosgyori VTK (W)	Szekszardi (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-1 L	0-3 L
Fehervar FC (W)	2-5 L	0-3 L
Kispest Honved (W)	0-5 L	0-2 L
Puskas FC (W)	2-10 L	0-6 L
Astra HFC (W)	2-3 L	2-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	0-7 L	0-7 L
Ujpest (W)	1-7 L	0-4 L
Gyor Eto FC (W)	1-5 L	0-3 L
Pecsi MFC (W)	1-4 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 9 L	1 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Szekszardi (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diosgyori VTK (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-4	1-4	0	2	L
19/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	2-5	11	4	L
13/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-5	–	–	L
05/09	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-10	–	–	L
30/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-2	2-3	4	5	L
26/08	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-4	0-7	0	0	L
22/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	1-7	2	4	L
15/08	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	1-5	–	–	L
08/08	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	1-4	2	2	L

Szekszardi (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-7	2	0	L
19/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-4	2	4	L
16/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-3	0	0	L
12/09	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-3	0-4	3	4	L
05/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-3	0	3	L
22/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-3	10	0	L
15/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	1	1	L
08/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-6	–	–	L
16/05	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-4	1-4	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Szekszardi (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Diosgyori VTK (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Diosgyori VTK (W) 57%, draw 22%, Szekszardi (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Szekszardi (W)?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Diosgyori VTK (W) 2.34 · Szekszardi (W) 1.4), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Szekszardi (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.