Football · Hungary NBI Women · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)

Team pages: Ferencvarosi TC (W) · Pecsi MFC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.15Total

Ferencvarosi TC (W)3.07

Pecsi MFC (W)1.07

1X2

82% 11% 7%

Ferencvarosi TC (W) Draw Pecsi MFC (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Ferencvarosi TC (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWWL

Pecsi MFC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDWWLL

Head-to-head

Ferencvarosi TC (W) 4–0 Pecsi MFC (W) (4 last)

Pecsi MFC (W)0-9Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)4-0Pecsi MFC (W)
Pecsi MFC (W)0-3Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)2-1Pecsi MFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 1609 · Pecsi MFC (W) 1469

	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	Draw	Pecsi MFC (W)
Our model	76%	14%	9%
Market	86%	9%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 4.15 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (W) (rating 1609 vs 1469).
H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC (W): 4-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	Pecsi MFC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.7	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/0/33%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.8	1.1 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.04

X10.00

219.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.90

2 (+3.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	19.00 → 19.00	Bet365 19.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:28 +15’	1.04	10.00	19.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 4–0–0 Pecsi MFC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Hungary NBI Women	Pecsi MFC (W)	0-9 HT 0-3	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
27/09/25 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	4-0 HT 3-0	Pecsi MFC (W)
29/03/25 Hungary NBI Women	Pecsi MFC (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)
28/09/24 Hungary NBI Women	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Pecsi MFC (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyor Eto FC (W)	10	8	1	1	35	5	25
2	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	10	8	1	1	28	7	25
3	MTK Hungaria (W)	10	7	2	1	18	3	23
4	Ujpest (W)	10	7	1	2	23	7	22
5	Puskas FC (W)	10	6	2	2	50	12	20
6	Kispest Honved (W)	10	6	1	3	25	7	19
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	10	4	1	5	13	18	13
8	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	10	3	1	6	9	16	10
9	Fehervar FC (W)	10	3	0	7	12	53	9
10	Astra HFC (W)	10	1	2	7	7	17	5
11	Szekszardi (W)	10	1	0	9	2	36	3
12	Diosgyori VTK (W)	10	0	0	10	10	51	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	Pecsi MFC (W)
Gyor Eto FC (W)	0-3 L	0-4 L
Szekszardi (W)	7-0 W	4-0 W
MTK Hungaria (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Szent Mihaly SE (W)	3-2 W	0-2 L
Fehervar FC (W)	3-0 W	3-2 W
Kispest Honved (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Puskas FC (W)	2-2 D	0-5 L
Diosgyori VTK (W)	7-0 W	4-1 W
Astra HFC (W)	2-0 W	2-0 W
Ujpest (W)	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	8 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC (W) (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferencvarosi TC (W)

WWWDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-3	5	0	L
27/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	7-0	6	0	W
19/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
16/09	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	3-2	4	5	W
12/09	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
05/09	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	2-2	5	0	D
26/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	4-0	7-0	8	0	W
23/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	2-0	9	0	W
15/08	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W

Pecsi MFC (W)

WLLWLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-3	3	0	L
19/09	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-4	1	1	L
16/09	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
12/09	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	3-0	4-0	6	4	W
05/09	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
30/08	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
26/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	3-2	–	–	W
22/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-2	0-5	1	1	L
08/08	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	4-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferencvarosi TC (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Ferencvarosi TC (W) 82%, draw 11%, Pecsi MFC (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)?

The model expects 4.15 goals (Ferencvarosi TC (W) 3.07 · Pecsi MFC (W) 1.07), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Pecsi MFC (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.