Football · South Africa Premier · 11/08, 19:30
Prediction: Chippa United vs Richards Bay FC
Team pages: Chippa United · Richards Bay FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Chippa United1.11
Richards Bay FC1.06
1X2
Chippa United
Draw
Richards Bay FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chippa United
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Richards Bay FC
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chippa United
3–1–2
Richards Bay FC
(6 last)
- Chippa United3-0Richards Bay FC
- Richards Bay FC4-1Chippa United
- Richards Bay FC1-0Chippa United
- Richards Bay FC0-0Chippa United
- Chippa United1-0Richards Bay FC
- Chippa United3-0Richards Bay FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chippa United 1459 · Richards Bay FC 1496
| Chippa United | Draw | Richards Bay FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Market | 35% | 32% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chippa United: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chippa United | Richards Bay FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chippa United 3–1–2 Richards Bay FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 South Africa Premier | Chippa United | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Richards Bay FC |
| 05/10/25 South Africa League Cup | Richards Bay FC | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Chippa United |
| 26/08/25 South Africa Premier | Richards Bay FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chippa United |
| 01/03/25 South Africa Premier | Richards Bay FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chippa United |
| 21/09/24 South Africa Premier | Chippa United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Richards Bay FC |
| 06/03/24 South Africa Premier | Chippa United | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Richards Bay FC |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Polokwane City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sekhukhune United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Siwelele FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | TS Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Chippa United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marumo Gallants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Richards Bay FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Durban City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Stellenbosch FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Kruger United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Milford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chippa United | Richards Bay FC |
|---|---|---|
| TS Galaxy | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sekhukhune United FC | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Polokwane City | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Stellenbosch FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Richards Bay FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chippa United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/04 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 03/04 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Richards Bay FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Durban City South Africa Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/05 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 19/04 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 07/04 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chippa United vs Richards Bay FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chippa United win (35%). Probabilities: Chippa United 35%, draw 32%, Richards Bay FC 33%.
How many goals are expected in Chippa United vs Richards Bay FC?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Chippa United 1.11 · Richards Bay FC 1.06), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chippa United vs Richards Bay FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.