Football · South Africa Premier · 16/08, 17:30

Prediction: TS Galaxy vs Golden Arrows

Team pages: TS Galaxy · Golden Arrows

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.84Total

TS Galaxy0.96

Golden Arrows0.88

1X2

36% 33% 31%

TS Galaxy Draw Golden Arrows

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

TS Galaxy 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLDDWDDL

Golden Arrows 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWDLDWD

Head-to-head

TS Galaxy 3–3–0 Golden Arrows (6 last)

Golden Arrows0-0TS Galaxy
TS Galaxy2-1Golden Arrows
Golden Arrows1-1TS Galaxy
TS Galaxy2-0Golden Arrows
Golden Arrows1-1TS Galaxy
Golden Arrows1-2TS Galaxy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TS Galaxy 1477 · Golden Arrows 1514

	TS Galaxy	Draw	Golden Arrows
Our model	35%	35%	30%
Market	37%	31%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours TS Galaxy: 3-3-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TS Galaxy	Golden Arrows
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	0.6 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.5	3.2 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X2.88

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.83 ★
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.20 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:58 +7’	2.20	2.88	3.20
13:43 +5’	2.30▲	2.88	3.00▼
15:21 +4’	2.45▲	2.88	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:47 +1’	2.84	2.83	2.68
17:45 +1’	2.83▼	2.84▲	2.69▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TS Galaxy 3–3–0 Golden Arrows

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 South Africa Premier	Golden Arrows	0-0 HT 0-0	TS Galaxy
23/11/25 South Africa Premier	TS Galaxy	2-1 HT 1-0	Golden Arrows
26/10/25 South Africa League Cup	Golden Arrows	1-1 HT 1-1	TS Galaxy
01/03/25 South Africa Premier	TS Galaxy	2-0 HT 1-0	Golden Arrows
18/01/25 South Africa Premier	Golden Arrows	1-1 HT 1-1	TS Galaxy
23/02/24 South Africa Cup	Golden Arrows	1-2 HT 1-1	TS Galaxy

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	Orlando Pirates	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
3	Polokwane City	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
4	Amazulu	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Mamelodi Sundowns	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
6	Milford FC	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
6	Sekhukhune United FC	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
8	Chippa United	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
9	Golden Arrows	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
10	Marumo Gallants	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	TS Galaxy	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
12	Stellenbosch FC	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
13	Richards Bay FC	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Siwelele FC	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
15	Durban City	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
16	Kruger United	2	0	1	1	1	3	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TS Galaxy	Golden Arrows
Siwelele FC	2-2 D	0-0 D
Chippa United	1-1 D	0-0 D
Durban City	1-2 L	0-0 D
Kaizer Chiefs	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Golden Arrows (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

TS Galaxy

LLDLDDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	1-1	2-3	0	3	L
02/08	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-1	2-2	2	5	D
23/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
12/05	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	2-2	3-2	1	5	W
09/05	Chippa United South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
06/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
02/05	Durban City South Africa Cup	1-0	1-2	2	0	L
26/04	Magesi FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
19/04	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
12/04	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-1	0-2	3	4	L

Golden Arrows

WDDDWDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Durban City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
09/08	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Supa 8 Cup	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
01/08	Chippa United South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	13	4	D
25/07	Milford FC South Africa Cup	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
23/05	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
16/05	Chippa United South Africa Premier	2-0	2-0	5	0	W
09/05	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
06/05	Amazulu South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
24/04	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
18/04	Orbit College South Africa Premier	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TS Galaxy vs Golden Arrows?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TS Galaxy win (36%). Probabilities: TS Galaxy 36%, draw 33%, Golden Arrows 31%.

How many goals are expected in TS Galaxy vs Golden Arrows?

The model expects 1.84 goals (TS Galaxy 0.96 · Golden Arrows 0.88), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in TS Galaxy vs Golden Arrows?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.