Football · South Africa Premier · 15/08, 20:00

Prediction: Durban City vs Richards Bay FC

Team pages: Durban City · Richards Bay FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.59Total

Durban City0.92

Richards Bay FC0.67

1X2

40% 35% 25%

Durban City Draw Richards Bay FC

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Durban City 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

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Richards Bay FC 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDDDLDLD

Head-to-head

Durban City 1–3–1 Richards Bay FC (5 last)

Durban City1-1Richards Bay FC
Durban City1-0Richards Bay FC
Richards Bay FC0-0Durban City
Richards Bay FC1-1Durban City
Richards Bay FC1-0Durban City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Durban City 1495 · Richards Bay FC 1482

	Durban City	Draw	Richards Bay FC
Our model	38%	38%	24%
Market	41%	33%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 1.59 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Durban City	Richards Bay FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.75

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.85

Under 1.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.80
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.86 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +8’	2.20	2.75	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:03	2.16	2.80	3.86

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Durban City 1–3–1 Richards Bay FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 South Africa Cup	Durban City	1-1 HT 0-1	Richards Bay FC
22/03/26 South Africa Premier	Durban City	1-0 HT 0-0	Richards Bay FC
23/11/25 South Africa Premier	Richards Bay FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Durban City
25/10/25 South Africa League Cup	Richards Bay FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Durban City
27/07/25 World Club Friendlies	Richards Bay FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Durban City

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	Orlando Pirates	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
3	Polokwane City	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
4	Amazulu	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Mamelodi Sundowns	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
6	Milford FC	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
6	Sekhukhune United FC	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
8	Chippa United	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
9	Golden Arrows	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
10	Marumo Gallants	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	TS Galaxy	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
12	Stellenbosch FC	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
13	Richards Bay FC	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Siwelele FC	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
15	Durban City	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
16	Kruger United	2	0	1	1	1	3	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Durban City	Richards Bay FC
Orlando Pirates	1-1 D	2-2 D
Sekhukhune United FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
TS Galaxy	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Richards Bay FC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Durban City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
08/08	Orlando Pirates South Africa Supa 8 Cup	0-1	1-1	1	7	D
01/08	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
25/07	Richards Bay FC South Africa Cup	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
23/05	Amazulu South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
16/05	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
08/05	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
05/05	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	1-1	2-2	3	1	D
02/05	TS Galaxy South Africa Cup	0-1	2-1	5	0	W
24/04	Orbit College South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	8	6	D

Richards Bay FC

DWDDDDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Chippa United South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
02/08	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-1	1-2	12	0	L
25/07	Durban City South Africa Cup	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
23/05	Magesi FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
16/05	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
09/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
06/05	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
26/04	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
19/04	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
10/04	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	1-0	2-2	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Durban City vs Richards Bay FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Durban City win (40%). Probabilities: Durban City 40%, draw 35%, Richards Bay FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Durban City vs Richards Bay FC?

The model expects 1.59 goals (Durban City 0.92 · Richards Bay FC 0.67), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Durban City vs Richards Bay FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.