Football · South Africa Premier · 15/08, 20:00
Prediction: Milford FC vs Kruger United
Team pages: Milford FC · Kruger United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.73Total
Milford FC1.13
Kruger United0.6
1X2
Milford FC
Draw
Kruger United
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Milford FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Kruger United
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Milford FC
1–3
Kruger United
(4 last)
- Kruger United1-0Milford FC
- Milford FC0-1Kruger United
- Milford FC1-2Kruger United
- Kruger United1-3Milford FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Milford FC 1524 · Kruger United 1579
| Milford FC | Draw | Kruger United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 34% | 18% |
| Market | 50% | 30% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.73 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kruger United (rating 1524 vs 1579).
- H2H favours Kruger United: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Milford FC | Kruger United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/57/29% | 57/43/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Milford FC 1–0–3 Kruger United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 South Africa National Div 1 | Kruger United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Milford FC |
| 29/10/25 South Africa National Div 1 | Milford FC | 0-1 | Kruger United |
| 05/04/25 South Africa National Div 1 | Milford FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Kruger United |
| 28/09/24 South Africa National Div 1 | Kruger United | 1-3 | Milford FC |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Polokwane City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Milford FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Chippa United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Marumo Gallants | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | TS Galaxy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Stellenbosch FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | Richards Bay FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Siwelele FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Durban City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Kruger United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Milford FC | Kruger United |
|---|---|---|
| Cape Town City | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| The Bees FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Milford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Golden Arrows South Africa Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Cape Town City South Africa Premier Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/05 | Cape Town City South Africa Premier Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Hungry Lions FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Pretoria University South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Kruger United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Gomora United South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Black Leopards South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Baroka FC South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Cape Town City South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Highbury FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/04 | Lerumo Lions South Africa National Div 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Milford FC vs Kruger United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Milford FC win (49%). Probabilities: Milford FC 49%, draw 32%, Kruger United 20%.
How many goals are expected in Milford FC vs Kruger United?
The model expects 1.73 goals (Milford FC 1.13 · Kruger United 0.6), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Milford FC vs Kruger United?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.