Football · South Africa Premier · 16/08, 15:00
Prediction: Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates
Team pages: Chippa United · Orlando Pirates
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Chippa United0.62
Orlando Pirates1.81
1X2
Chippa United
Draw
Orlando Pirates
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chippa United
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Orlando Pirates
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chippa United
0–6
Orlando Pirates
(6 last)
- Orlando Pirates2-0Chippa United
- Chippa United0-3Orlando Pirates
- Chippa United0-1Orlando Pirates
- Orlando Pirates2-1Chippa United
- Orlando Pirates2-0Chippa United
- Chippa United1-3Orlando Pirates
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chippa United 1449 · Orlando Pirates 1570
| Chippa United | Draw | Orlando Pirates | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 24% | 65% |
| Market | 12% | 22% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orlando Pirates (rating 1449 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Orlando Pirates: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chippa United | Orlando Pirates | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.6 | 3.1 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chippa United 0–0–6 Orlando Pirates
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/25 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Chippa United |
| 31/08/25 South Africa Premier | Chippa United | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Orlando Pirates |
| 05/03/25 South Africa Premier | Chippa United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Orlando Pirates |
| 18/09/24 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Chippa United |
| 08/05/24 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Chippa United |
| 04/05/24 South Africa Cup | Chippa United | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Orlando Pirates |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Polokwane City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Milford FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Chippa United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Marumo Gallants | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | TS Galaxy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Stellenbosch FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | Richards Bay FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Siwelele FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Durban City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Kruger United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chippa United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/04 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 03/04 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Orlando Pirates
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Durban City South Africa Supa 8 Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Milford FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | Neom SC World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Las Palmas World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Al Ittihad Jeddah World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Cadiz World Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/07 | Cordoba World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Orlando Pirates win (66%). Probabilities: Chippa United 12%, draw 23%, Orlando Pirates 66%.
How many goals are expected in Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Chippa United 0.62 · Orlando Pirates 1.81), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.