Football · South Africa Premier · 11/08, 19:30

Prediction: Marumo Gallants vs Kruger United

Team pages: Kruger United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Marumo Gallants1.05
Kruger United1
1X2
35% 33% 32%
Marumo Gallants Draw Kruger United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Marumo Gallants 0-7-3 (W-D-L)
LLLDDDDDDD
Kruger United 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWWWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marumo Gallants 1461 · Kruger United 1551
Marumo GallantsDrawKruger United
Our model35%33%32%
Market35%32%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kruger United (rating 1461 vs 1551).
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Marumo GallantsKruger United
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.21.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%57/29/14%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.92.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.34.6 / 0.1

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kaizer Chiefs 1100 313
2 Orlando Pirates 1100 203
3 Polokwane City 1100 213
4 Amazulu 1100 103
4 Sekhukhune United FC 1100 103
6 Siwelele FC 1010 221
6 TS Galaxy 1010 221
8 Chippa United 1010 001
8 Golden Arrows 1010 001
10 Mamelodi Sundowns 0000 000
10 Marumo Gallants 0000 000
12 Richards Bay FC 1001 120
13 Durban City 1001 010
13 Stellenbosch FC 1001 010
15 Kruger United 1001 130
16 Milford FC 1001 020

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marumo Gallants

LLLDDDDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/05 Stellenbosch FC
South Africa Premier
0-0 0-0 33 D
16/05 Polokwane City
South Africa Premier
0-1 1-1 04 D
09/05 Richards Bay FC
South Africa Premier
0-1 1-1 81 D
06/05 TS Galaxy
South Africa Premier
1-1 1-1 65 D
25/04 Sekhukhune United FC
South Africa Premier
0-0 1-1 24 D
18/04 Siwelele FC
South Africa Premier
0-0 0-0 16 D
12/04 Orbit College
South Africa Premier
0-0 0-0 52 D
07/04 Magesi FC
South Africa Premier
0-1 0-3 72 L
17/03 Mamelodi Sundowns
South Africa Premier
1-1 1-3 52 L
14/03 Golden Arrows
South Africa Premier
0-1 1-2 28 L

Kruger United

LWWWWWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Kaizer Chiefs
South Africa Premier
1-1 1-3 14 L
17/05 The Bees FC
South Africa National Div 1
1-0 2-2 54 D
10/05 Gomora United
South Africa National Div 1
1-0 1-0 92 W
02/05 Black Leopards
South Africa National Div 1
3-1 W
26/04 Baroka FC
South Africa National Div 1
1-0 3-0 54 W
22/04 Cape Town City
South Africa National Div 1
1-0 2-1 58 W
18/04 Midlands Wanderers FC
South Africa National Div 1
3-0 W
12/04 Highbury FC
South Africa National Div 1
2-1 W
08/04 Lerumo Lions
South Africa National Div 1
1-1 2-1 56 W
20/03 Casric Stars FC
South Africa National Div 1
0-3 0-4 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marumo Gallants vs Kruger United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marumo Gallants win (35%). Probabilities: Marumo Gallants 35%, draw 33%, Kruger United 32%.

How many goals are expected in Marumo Gallants vs Kruger United?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Marumo Gallants 1.05 · Kruger United 1), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Marumo Gallants vs Kruger United?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.