Football · South Africa Premier · 11/08, 19:30
Prediction: Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch FC
Team pages: Polokwane City · Stellenbosch FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.79Total
Polokwane City0.99
Stellenbosch FC0.79
1X2
Polokwane City
Draw
Stellenbosch FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Polokwane City
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Stellenbosch FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Polokwane City
2–2–2
Stellenbosch FC
(6 last)
- Polokwane City1-0Stellenbosch FC
- Stellenbosch FC1-2Polokwane City
- Stellenbosch FC1-1Polokwane City
- Stellenbosch FC2-0Polokwane City
- Polokwane City1-1Stellenbosch FC
- Stellenbosch FC5-0Polokwane City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polokwane City 1513 · Stellenbosch FC 1475
| Polokwane City | Draw | Stellenbosch FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 35% | 27% |
| Market | 39% | 34% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.79 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Polokwane City | Stellenbosch FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polokwane City 2–2–2 Stellenbosch FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 South Africa Premier | Polokwane City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stellenbosch FC |
| 03/12/25 South Africa Premier | Stellenbosch FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Polokwane City |
| 28/02/25 South Africa Premier | Stellenbosch FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Polokwane City |
| 13/02/25 South Africa Cup | Stellenbosch FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Polokwane City |
| 29/09/24 South Africa Premier | Polokwane City | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Stellenbosch FC |
| 27/04/24 South Africa Premier | Stellenbosch FC | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Polokwane City |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Polokwane City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sekhukhune United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Siwelele FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | TS Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Chippa United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marumo Gallants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Richards Bay FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Durban City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Stellenbosch FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Kruger United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Milford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Polokwane City | Stellenbosch FC |
|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Richards Bay FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sekhukhune United FC | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Marumo Gallants | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polokwane City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Supa 8 Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Sekhukhune United FC World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
Stellenbosch FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/04 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/04 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Polokwane City win (38%). Probabilities: Polokwane City 38%, draw 35%, Stellenbosch FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch FC?
The model expects 1.79 goals (Polokwane City 0.99 · Stellenbosch FC 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.