Football · South Africa Premier · 12/08, 19:30
Prediction: Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates
Team pages: Amazulu · Orlando Pirates
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Amazulu0.62
Orlando Pirates1.56
1X2
Amazulu
Draw
Orlando Pirates
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Amazulu
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Orlando Pirates
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Amazulu
0–1–5
Orlando Pirates
(6 last)
- Orlando Pirates3-0Amazulu
- Amazulu0-2Orlando Pirates
- Amazulu1-1Orlando Pirates
- Orlando Pirates2-1Amazulu
- Orlando Pirates1-0Amazulu
- Amazulu2-4Orlando Pirates
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amazulu 1517 · Orlando Pirates 1573
| Amazulu | Draw | Orlando Pirates | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 27% | 59% |
| Market | 15% | 24% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orlando Pirates (rating 1517 vs 1573).
- H2H favours Orlando Pirates: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Amazulu | Orlando Pirates | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 3.1 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amazulu 0–1–5 Orlando Pirates
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Amazulu |
| 03/02/26 South Africa Premier | Amazulu | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Orlando Pirates |
| 24/05/25 South Africa Premier | Amazulu | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Orlando Pirates |
| 25/10/24 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Amazulu |
| 20/04/24 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Amazulu |
| 13/04/24 South Africa Cup | Amazulu | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Orlando Pirates |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Polokwane City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sekhukhune United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Siwelele FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | TS Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Chippa United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marumo Gallants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Richards Bay FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Durban City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Stellenbosch FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Kruger United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Milford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Amazulu | Orlando Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Durban City | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Orbit College | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amazulu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Supa 8 Cup |
1-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Midlands Wanderers FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
2-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Orlando Pirates
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Durban City South Africa Supa 8 Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Milford FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | Neom SC World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Las Palmas World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Al Ittihad Jeddah World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Cadiz World Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/07 | Cordoba World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Orlando Pirates win (60%). Probabilities: Amazulu 14%, draw 26%, Orlando Pirates 60%.
How many goals are expected in Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Amazulu 0.62 · Orlando Pirates 1.56), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Amazulu vs Orlando Pirates?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.