Prediction: Durban City vs Golden Arrows
Team pages: Durban City · Golden Arrows
- Golden Arrows1-0Durban City
- Golden Arrows1-1Durban City
- Durban City1-1Golden Arrows
| Durban City | Draw | Golden Arrows | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 37% | 30% |
| Market | 35% | 32% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Golden Arrows (rating 1468 vs 1542).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Durban City | Golden Arrows | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.6 | 3.2 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Durban City 0–2–1 Golden Arrows
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 South Africa Premier | Golden Arrows | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Durban City |
| 08/03/26 South Africa Cup | Golden Arrows | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Durban City |
| 19/08/25 South Africa Premier | Durban City | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Golden Arrows |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Polokwane City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sekhukhune United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Siwelele FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | TS Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Chippa United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marumo Gallants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Richards Bay FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Durban City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Stellenbosch FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Kruger United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Milford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Durban City | Golden Arrows |
|---|---|---|
| Amazulu | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Siwelele FC | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| TS Galaxy | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Orbit College | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Golden Arrows (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Durban City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Supa 8 Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 08/05 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | TS Galaxy South Africa Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/04 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
2-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
Golden Arrows
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Supa 8 Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Milford FC South Africa Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/04 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Durban City vs Golden Arrows?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Durban City win (34%). Probabilities: Durban City 34%, draw 34%, Golden Arrows 32%.
How many goals are expected in Durban City vs Golden Arrows?
The model expects 1.69 goals (Durban City 0.87 · Golden Arrows 0.82), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Durban City vs Golden Arrows?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.