Football · South Africa Premier · 12/08, 19:30

Prediction: Kaizer Chiefs vs Sekhukhune United FC

Team pages: Kaizer Chiefs · Sekhukhune United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Kaizer Chiefs1.4

Sekhukhune United FC0.75

1X2

51% 30% 19%

Kaizer Chiefs Draw Sekhukhune United FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Kaizer Chiefs 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLDLWL

Sekhukhune United FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDWLDDWWWD

Head-to-head

Kaizer Chiefs 3–2–1 Sekhukhune United FC (6 last)

Sekhukhune United FC0-2Kaizer Chiefs
Kaizer Chiefs1-3Sekhukhune United FC
Sekhukhune United FC1-1Kaizer Chiefs
Kaizer Chiefs1-0Sekhukhune United FC
Sekhukhune United FC1-1Kaizer Chiefs
Kaizer Chiefs2-1Sekhukhune United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaizer Chiefs 1497 · Sekhukhune United FC 1540

	Kaizer Chiefs	Draw	Sekhukhune United FC
Our model	51%	30%	19%
Market	51%	30%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sekhukhune United FC (rating 1497 vs 1540).
H2H favours Kaizer Chiefs: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kaizer Chiefs	Sekhukhune United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.85 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.10
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +2’	1.75	3.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:12	1.85	3.10	4.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaizer Chiefs 3–2–1 Sekhukhune United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 South Africa Premier	Sekhukhune United FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Kaizer Chiefs
16/09/25 South Africa Premier	Kaizer Chiefs	1-3 HT 1-1	Sekhukhune United FC
17/05/25 South Africa Premier	Sekhukhune United FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Kaizer Chiefs
19/01/25 South Africa Premier	Kaizer Chiefs	1-0 HT 0-0	Sekhukhune United FC
30/12/23 South Africa Premier	Sekhukhune United FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Kaizer Chiefs
27/09/23 South Africa Premier	Kaizer Chiefs	2-1 HT 0-1	Sekhukhune United FC

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
2	Orlando Pirates	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
3	Polokwane City	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	Amazulu	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
4	Sekhukhune United FC	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	Siwelele FC	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
6	TS Galaxy	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
8	Chippa United	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
8	Golden Arrows	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
10	Mamelodi Sundowns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Marumo Gallants	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Richards Bay FC	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
13	Durban City	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
13	Stellenbosch FC	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
15	Kruger United	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
16	Milford FC	1	0	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kaizer Chiefs	Sekhukhune United FC
Chippa United	0-1 L	3-1 W
Amazulu	1-0 W	3-3 D
Siwelele FC	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sekhukhune United FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kaizer Chiefs

DLDWWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Golden Arrows South Africa Supa 8 Cup	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
01/08	Kruger United South Africa Premier	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
18/07	Elche World Club Friendlies	0-2	1-2	0	3	L
15/07	Al Kholood World Club Friendlies	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
23/05	Chippa United South Africa Premier	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
16/05	Amazulu South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
10/05	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
06/05	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
29/04	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-2	0-2	13	4	L
26/04	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	3	0	D

Sekhukhune United FC

LDWLDDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Amazulu South Africa Supa 8 Cup	1-1	3-3	4	3	D
01/08	Durban City South Africa Premier	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
25/07	Magesi FC World Club Friendlies	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
25/07	Polokwane City World Club Friendlies	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
23/05	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-2	2-2	4	8	D
16/05	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
10/05	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
06/05	Chippa United South Africa Premier	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
25/04	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
17/04	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-2	1-3	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaizer Chiefs vs Sekhukhune United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kaizer Chiefs win (51%). Probabilities: Kaizer Chiefs 51%, draw 30%, Sekhukhune United FC 19%.

How many goals are expected in Kaizer Chiefs vs Sekhukhune United FC?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Kaizer Chiefs 1.4 · Sekhukhune United FC 0.75), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Kaizer Chiefs vs Sekhukhune United FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.