Football · South Africa Premier · 14/08, 19:30

Prediction: Stellenbosch FC vs Marumo Gallants

Team pages: Stellenbosch FC · Marumo Gallants

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.93Total

Stellenbosch FC1.27

Marumo Gallants0.65

1X2

51% 31% 18%

Stellenbosch FC Draw Marumo Gallants

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Stellenbosch FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLDWDLD

Marumo Gallants 0-8-2 (W-D-L)

LLDDDDDDDD

Head-to-head

Stellenbosch FC 3–1–2 Marumo Gallants (6 last)

Marumo Gallants0-0Stellenbosch FC
Marumo Gallants4-0Stellenbosch FC
Stellenbosch FC1-0Marumo Gallants
Marumo Gallants0-1Stellenbosch FC
Marumo Gallants1-0Stellenbosch FC
Stellenbosch FC1-0Marumo Gallants

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stellenbosch FC 1478 · Marumo Gallants 1477

	Stellenbosch FC	Draw	Marumo Gallants
Our model	50%	32%	18%
Market	51%	30%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Stellenbosch FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stellenbosch FC	Marumo Gallants
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	0.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.88 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.06
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +13’	1.75	3.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:25	1.88	3.06	4.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stellenbosch FC 3–1–2 Marumo Gallants

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 South Africa Premier	Marumo Gallants	0-0 HT 0-0	Stellenbosch FC
29/10/25 South Africa League Cup	Marumo Gallants	4-0 HT 1-0	Stellenbosch FC
26/08/25 South Africa Premier	Stellenbosch FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Marumo Gallants
04/03/25 South Africa Premier	Marumo Gallants	0-1 HT 0-0	Stellenbosch FC
03/11/24 South Africa League Cup	Marumo Gallants	1-0 HT 1-0	Stellenbosch FC
31/10/24 South Africa Premier	Stellenbosch FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Marumo Gallants

Standings · South Africa Premier

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	Orlando Pirates	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
3	Polokwane City	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
4	Amazulu	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Mamelodi Sundowns	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
6	Milford FC	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
6	Sekhukhune United FC	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
8	Chippa United	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
9	Golden Arrows	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
10	Marumo Gallants	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	TS Galaxy	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
12	Stellenbosch FC	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
13	Richards Bay FC	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Siwelele FC	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
15	Durban City	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
16	Kruger United	2	0	1	1	1	3	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stellenbosch FC	Marumo Gallants
Polokwane City	3-3 D	1-1 D
Orbit College	2-0 W	0-0 D
Mamelodi Sundowns	1-1 D	1-3 L
Sekhukhune United FC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Richards Bay FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stellenbosch FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stellenbosch FC

LWDLLDWDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	1-1	3-3	6	1	D
01/08	Amazulu South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
23/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
16/05	Orbit College South Africa Premier	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
08/05	Durban City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
05/05	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
26/04	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
22/04	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
17/04	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	2-0	3-1	5	0	W
07/04	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	1-1	1-2	3	4	L

Marumo Gallants

LLDDDDDDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Kruger United South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	9	7	D
23/05	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
16/05	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	0	4	D
09/05	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
06/05	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
25/04	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
18/04	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
12/04	Orbit College South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
07/04	Magesi FC South Africa Premier	0-1	0-3	7	2	L
17/03	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	1-1	1-3	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stellenbosch FC vs Marumo Gallants?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stellenbosch FC win (51%). Probabilities: Stellenbosch FC 51%, draw 31%, Marumo Gallants 18%.

How many goals are expected in Stellenbosch FC vs Marumo Gallants?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Stellenbosch FC 1.27 · Marumo Gallants 0.65), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Stellenbosch FC vs Marumo Gallants?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.