Football · South Africa Premier · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: Amazulu vs Siwelele FC

Team pages: Amazulu · Siwelele FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Amazulu1.4

Siwelele FC1.03

1X2

43% 31% 26%

Amazulu Draw Siwelele FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Amazulu 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWWWDD

Siwelele FC 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWDLWDDL

Head-to-head

Amazulu 1–1–0 Siwelele FC (2 last)

Siwelele FC1-1Amazulu
Amazulu2-0Siwelele FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amazulu 1537 · Siwelele FC 1483

	Amazulu	Draw	Siwelele FC
Our model	44%	29%	26%
Market	43%	32%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amazulu (rating 1537 vs 1483).
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Amazulu	Siwelele FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X2.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.35 ★
X	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.84
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:42 +24’	2.10	2.80	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +1’	2.35	2.84	3.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Amazulu 1–1–0 Siwelele FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 South Africa Premier	Siwelele FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Amazulu
22/11/25 South Africa Premier	Amazulu	2-0 HT 1-0	Siwelele FC

Standings · South Africa Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	Orlando Pirates	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
3	Polokwane City	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
4	Amazulu	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Mamelodi Sundowns	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
6	Milford FC	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
6	Sekhukhune United FC	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
8	Chippa United	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
9	Golden Arrows	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
10	Marumo Gallants	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	TS Galaxy	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
12	Stellenbosch FC	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
13	Richards Bay FC	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Siwelele FC	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
15	Durban City	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
16	Kruger United	2	0	1	1	1	3	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amazulu	Siwelele FC
Sekhukhune United FC	3-3 D	2-2 D
Durban City	1-0 W	2-2 D
Kaizer Chiefs	0-1 L	2-0 W
Golden Arrows	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Amazulu

LWDDLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
09/08	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Supa 8 Cup	1-1	3-3	9	3	D
01/08	Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
25/07	Midlands Wanderers FC Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Durban City South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
16/05	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
09/05	Orbit College South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
06/05	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
25/04	Chippa United South Africa Premier	2-1	5-1	8	4	W
18/04	Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier	0-2	0-3	2	3	L

Siwelele FC

DDDWDLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Milford FC South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
02/08	TS Galaxy South Africa Premier	1-0	2-2	10	5	D
23/05	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	2-0	2-2	2	8	D
16/05	Magesi FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
09/05	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	1-5	4-7	5	2	L
05/05	Durban City South Africa Premier	1-1	2-2	5	1	D
29/04	Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
24/04	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
18/04	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
11/04	Amazulu South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amazulu vs Siwelele FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Amazulu win (43%). Probabilities: Amazulu 43%, draw 31%, Siwelele FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Amazulu vs Siwelele FC?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Amazulu 1.4 · Siwelele FC 1.03), with a 59% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Amazulu vs Siwelele FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.