Prediction: TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns
Team pages: TS Galaxy · Mamelodi Sundowns
- TS Galaxy3-2Mamelodi Sundowns
- TS Galaxy2-0Mamelodi Sundowns
- Mamelodi Sundowns1-0TS Galaxy
- Mamelodi Sundowns4-1TS Galaxy
- TS Galaxy1-0Mamelodi Sundowns
- TS Galaxy1-1Mamelodi Sundowns
| TS Galaxy | Draw | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 25% | 61% |
| Market | 14% | 24% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mamelodi Sundowns (rating 1473 vs 1545).
- H2H favours TS Galaxy: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.9 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TS Galaxy 3–1–2 Mamelodi Sundowns
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 South Africa Premier | TS Galaxy | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 21/02/26 South Africa Cup | TS Galaxy | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 05/11/25 South Africa Premier | Mamelodi Sundowns | 1-0 HT 0-0 | TS Galaxy |
| 22/02/25 South Africa Premier | Mamelodi Sundowns | 4-1 HT 3-1 | TS Galaxy |
| 11/02/25 South Africa Premier | TS Galaxy | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 21/05/24 South Africa Premier | TS Galaxy | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Mamelodi Sundowns |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Polokwane City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sekhukhune United FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Siwelele FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | TS Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Chippa United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marumo Gallants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Richards Bay FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Durban City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Stellenbosch FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Kruger United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Milford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Siwelele FC | 2-2 D | 7-4 W |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Polokwane City | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Mamelodi Sundowns (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TS Galaxy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 12/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
2-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Durban City South Africa Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/04 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Mamelodi Sundowns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Polokwane City South Africa Supa 8 Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | MC Alger World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Al Hilal Riyadh World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Hertha Berlin World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 29/05 | RB Leipzig World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FAR Rabat CAF Champions League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | FAR Rabat CAF Champions League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 12/05 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
5-1 | 7-4 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mamelodi Sundowns win (61%). Probabilities: TS Galaxy 14%, draw 25%, Mamelodi Sundowns 61%.
How many goals are expected in TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The model expects 2.42 goals (TS Galaxy 0.7 · Mamelodi Sundowns 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.