Football · Poland III Liga · 31/07, 18:00
Prediction: Gornik Polkowice vs Rakow Czestochowa II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Gornik Polkowice2.38
Rakow Czestochowa II1.04
1X2
Gornik Polkowice
Draw
Rakow Czestochowa II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gornik Polkowice
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Rakow Czestochowa II
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gornik Polkowice
1–1
Rakow Czestochowa II
(2 last)
- Rakow Czestochowa II1-2Gornik Polkowice
- Gornik Polkowice1-2Rakow Czestochowa II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gornik Polkowice 1492 · Rakow Czestochowa II 1564
| Gornik Polkowice | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 18% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rakow Czestochowa II (rating 1492 vs 1564).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gornik Polkowice | Rakow Czestochowa II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2 | 2.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gornik Polkowice 1–0–1 Rakow Czestochowa II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/24 Poland III Liga | Rakow Czestochowa II | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Gornik Polkowice |
| 21/10/23 Poland III Liga | Gornik Polkowice | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Rakow Czestochowa II |
Standings · Poland III Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Czarni Polaniec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hetman Zamosc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JKS Jaroslaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Korona Kielce II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Moravia Morawica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Star Starachowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wisloka Debica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gornik Polkowice
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Warta Poznan Europe Friendlies |
3-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Warta Gorzow Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/06 | Sokol Kleczew Poland League II Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Sokol Kleczew Poland League II Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | LKS Lomza Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Lechia Zielona Góra Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | Gornik Zabrze II Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
Rakow Czestochowa II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | KS Stilon Gorzow Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Ruch Zdzieszowice Poland IV Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Ruch Radzionkow Poland IV Liga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland IV Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | LKS Belk Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Rozwoj Katowice Poland IV Liga |
3-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | Szombierki Bytom Poland IV Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/04 | Polonia Laziska Gorne Poland IV Liga |
0-1 | 5-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 09/11 | Victoria Czestochowa Poland IV Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/10 | Kuznia Ustron Poland IV Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gornik Polkowice vs Rakow Czestochowa II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Polkowice win (67%). Probabilities: Gornik Polkowice 67%, draw 19%, Rakow Czestochowa II 15%.
How many goals are expected in Gornik Polkowice vs Rakow Czestochowa II?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Gornik Polkowice 2.38 · Rakow Czestochowa II 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gornik Polkowice vs Rakow Czestochowa II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.