Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 09/11, 16:00

Prediction: FK Napredak vs Bor 1919

Team pages: FK Napredak · Bor 1919

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

FK Napredak1.45

Bor 19190.67

1X2

56% 26% 18%

FK Napredak Draw Bor 1919

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Napredak 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWDWDL

Bor 1919 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

FK Napredak 1–0 Bor 1919 (1 last)

Bor 19190-1FK Napredak

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Napredak 1478 · Bor 1919 1388

	FK Napredak	Draw	Bor 1919
Our model	55%	29%	16%
Market	57%	24%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Napredak (rating 1478 vs 1388).
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Napredak	Bor 1919
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1	0.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.4	1.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.75

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:47 +6’	1.55	3.75	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Napredak 1–0–0 Bor 1919

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Bor 1919	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Napredak

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	17	11	3	3	30	20	36
2	Javor Ivanjica	16	9	6	1	38	18	33
3	FK Backa Topola	16	9	6	1	36	18	33
4	OFK Vrsac	17	9	3	5	21	16	30
5	FK Dubocica	17	7	5	5	18	18	26
6	Smederevo	17	7	4	6	23	23	25
7	FK Proleter 023	17	5	7	5	24	18	22
8	Spartak Subotica	16	6	4	6	25	28	22
9	FK Napredak	16	6	4	6	14	17	22
10	FK Vozdovac	17	5	5	7	15	15	20
11	Loznica	17	4	8	5	20	24	20
12	Metalac Gornji	16	5	3	8	19	25	18
13	FK Graficar Beograd	17	5	2	10	25	30	17
14	Jedinstvo UB	16	5	2	9	20	26	17
15	Teleoptik	16	3	4	9	20	29	13
16	Bor 1919	16	2	2	12	8	31	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Napredak	Bor 1919
FK Graficar Beograd	0-2 L	0-3 L
Borac Cacak	0-0 D	0-1 L
FK Dubocica	1-0 W	2-1 W
OFK Vrsac	1-2 L	0-1 L
Spartak Subotica	0-1 L	0-1 L
Jedinstvo UB	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Napredak (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Napredak

WLLLDWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
24/10	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
17/10	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
11/10	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
05/10	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-0	6	4	W
29/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
21/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	1-4	6	7	L
16/09	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
11/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
05/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W

Bor 1919

WLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
24/10	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
17/10	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
11/10	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-4	3	3	L
03/10	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
28/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
21/09	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
17/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
13/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
06/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	1	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Napredak vs Bor 1919?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Napredak win (56%). Probabilities: FK Napredak 56%, draw 26%, Bor 1919 18%.

How many goals are expected in FK Napredak vs Bor 1919?

The model expects 2.13 goals (FK Napredak 1.45 · Bor 1919 0.67), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Napredak vs Bor 1919?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.