Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 07/11, 17:00

Prediction: Loznica vs FK Dubocica

Team pages: Loznica · FK Dubocica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

Loznica1.28

FK Dubocica0.79

1X2

48% 29% 23%

Loznica Draw FK Dubocica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Loznica 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLWDDL

FK Dubocica 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDWLWD

Head-to-head

Loznica 3–2–0 FK Dubocica (5 last)

FK Dubocica0-0Loznica
FK Dubocica0-1Loznica
Loznica1-0FK Dubocica
Loznica7-0FK Dubocica
FK Dubocica0-0Loznica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Loznica 1495 · FK Dubocica 1486

	Loznica	Draw	FK Dubocica
Our model	47%	31%	22%
Market	50%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Loznica: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Loznica	FK Dubocica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.4	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.2	5.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.40

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.95 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:13 +21’	1.80	3.40	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:11 +42’	1.95	3.01	3.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Loznica 3–2–0 FK Dubocica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	0-0 HT 0-0	Loznica
14/12/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	0-1 HT 0-0	Loznica
06/09/25 Serbia Prva Liga	Loznica	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Dubocica
25/03/21 Serbia Prva Liga	Loznica	7-0 HT 3-0	FK Dubocica
19/09/20 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	0-0 HT 0-0	Loznica

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Javor Ivanjica	16	9	6	1	38	18	33
2	FK Backa Topola	16	9	6	1	36	18	33
3	Borac Cacak	16	10	3	3	29	20	33
4	OFK Vrsac	16	9	2	5	20	15	29
5	Smederevo	16	7	4	5	22	18	25
6	FK Dubocica	16	6	5	5	16	17	23
7	Spartak Subotica	16	6	4	6	25	28	22
8	FK Napredak	16	6	4	6	14	17	22
9	FK Proleter 023	16	5	6	5	23	17	21
10	FK Vozdovac	16	5	5	6	15	14	20
11	Loznica	16	4	8	4	19	22	20
12	Metalac Gornji	16	5	3	8	19	25	18
13	Jedinstvo UB	16	5	2	9	20	26	17
14	FK Graficar Beograd	16	4	2	10	20	29	14
15	Teleoptik	16	3	4	9	20	29	13
16	Bor 1919	16	2	2	12	8	31	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Loznica	FK Dubocica
FK Vozdovac	1-1 D	0-0 D
Smederevo	1-0 W	1-0 W
FK Napredak	0-3 L	0-1 L
Spartak Subotica	2-0 W	2-1 W
Jedinstvo UB	3-2 W	0-0 D
Javor Ivanjica	2-2 D	1-1 D
FK Backa Topola	0-4 L	0-0 D
Teleoptik	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Dubocica (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Loznica

DLDWWLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	5	12	L
24/10	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	10	6	D
18/10	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
12/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
05/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
28/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	9	4	W
21/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	3-2	5	5	W
17/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-2	0	6	D
12/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-4	1	6	L
06/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	11	6	D

FK Dubocica

LLWDDDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
23/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
17/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
11/10	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
04/10	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
28/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
21/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
11/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-3	0-5	3	5	L
06/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	6	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Loznica vs FK Dubocica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Loznica win (48%). Probabilities: Loznica 48%, draw 29%, FK Dubocica 23%.

How many goals are expected in Loznica vs FK Dubocica?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Loznica 1.28 · FK Dubocica 0.79), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Loznica vs FK Dubocica?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.