Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 09/11, 18:00

Prediction: Javor Ivanjica vs FK Backa Topola

Team pages: Javor Ivanjica · FK Backa Topola

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Javor Ivanjica1.72

FK Backa Topola1.47

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Javor Ivanjica Draw FK Backa Topola

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Javor Ivanjica 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWDWWW

FK Backa Topola 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDDWWWWL

Head-to-head

Javor Ivanjica 0–3–3 FK Backa Topola (6 last)

FK Backa Topola1-1Javor Ivanjica
FK Backa Topola6-1Javor Ivanjica
Javor Ivanjica0-0FK Backa Topola
FK Backa Topola2-2Javor Ivanjica
FK Backa Topola3-0Javor Ivanjica
Javor Ivanjica0-3FK Backa Topola

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Javor Ivanjica 1582 · FK Backa Topola 1589

	Javor Ivanjica	Draw	FK Backa Topola
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Backa Topola: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Javor Ivanjica	FK Backa Topola
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	2.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	1.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	4.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:05 +49’	2.10	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Javor Ivanjica 0–3–3 FK Backa Topola

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Backa Topola	1-1 HT 0-1	Javor Ivanjica
10/05/26 Serbia Super Liga	FK Backa Topola	6-1 HT 4-1	Javor Ivanjica
07/02/26 Serbia Super Liga	Javor Ivanjica	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Backa Topola
30/08/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Backa Topola	2-2 HT 1-0	Javor Ivanjica
18/12/23 Serbia Super Liga	FK Backa Topola	3-0 HT 2-0	Javor Ivanjica
20/08/23 Serbia Super Liga	Javor Ivanjica	0-3 HT 0-3	FK Backa Topola

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	17	11	3	3	30	20	36
2	Javor Ivanjica	16	9	6	1	38	18	33
3	FK Backa Topola	16	9	6	1	36	18	33
4	OFK Vrsac	17	9	3	5	21	16	30
5	FK Dubocica	17	7	5	5	18	18	26
6	Smederevo	17	7	4	6	23	23	25
7	FK Proleter 023	17	5	7	5	24	18	22
8	Spartak Subotica	16	6	4	6	25	28	22
9	FK Napredak	16	6	4	6	14	17	22
10	FK Vozdovac	17	5	5	7	15	15	20
11	Loznica	17	4	8	5	20	24	20
12	Metalac Gornji	16	5	3	8	19	25	18
13	FK Graficar Beograd	17	5	2	10	25	30	17
14	Jedinstvo UB	16	5	2	9	20	26	17
15	Teleoptik	16	3	4	9	20	29	13
16	Bor 1919	16	2	2	12	8	31	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Javor Ivanjica	FK Backa Topola
Teleoptik	3-2 W	2-1 W
Metalac Gornji	2-1 W	5-1 W
Bor 1919	3-0 W	4-1 W
FK Graficar Beograd	1-1 D	4-1 W
Borac Cacak	3-1 W	2-2 D
FK Dubocica	1-1 D	0-0 D
FK Proleter 023	4-2 W	1-1 D
Loznica	2-2 D	4-0 W
FK Vozdovac	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 4 D 0 L	6 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Backa Topola (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Javor Ivanjica

WDDWDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	3-2	12	3	W
24/10	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
17/10	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
11/10	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
04/10	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-1	2	6	W
28/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
21/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	4-2	1	3	W
17/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-2	6	6	D
12/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
05/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-1	3	3	W

FK Backa Topola

WWDDDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	8	10	L
23/10	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
17/10	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	5-1	3	4	W
11/10	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	4-1	4	3	W
05/10	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	4-1	4	7	W
26/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	3	1	D
21/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
16/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
12/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	4-0	9	6	W
07/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-2	6	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Javor Ivanjica vs FK Backa Topola?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Javor Ivanjica win (43%). Probabilities: Javor Ivanjica 43%, draw 25%, FK Backa Topola 32%.

How many goals are expected in Javor Ivanjica vs FK Backa Topola?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Javor Ivanjica 1.72 · FK Backa Topola 1.47), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Javor Ivanjica vs FK Backa Topola?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.