Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Borac Cacak vs Loznica

Team pages: Borac Cacak · Loznica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Borac Cacak1.88

Loznica1.05

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Borac Cacak Draw Loznica

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Borac Cacak 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWDDWW

Loznica 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWDDLL

Head-to-head

Borac Cacak 3–1–2 Loznica (6 last)

Loznica2-3Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak1-0Loznica
Loznica2-0Borac Cacak
Loznica0-0Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak4-1Loznica
Borac Cacak0-1Loznica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borac Cacak 1539 · Loznica 1452

	Borac Cacak	Draw	Loznica
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	56%	24%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borac Cacak (rating 1539 vs 1452).
H2H favours Borac Cacak: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Borac Cacak	Loznica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.2	2.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.70

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:36 +28’	1.60	3.70	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Borac Cacak 3–1–2 Loznica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Loznica	2-3 HT 1-0	Borac Cacak
05/04/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	1-0 HT 0-0	Loznica
24/10/25 Serbia Prva Liga	Loznica	2-0 HT 1-0	Borac Cacak
23/05/24 Serbia Srpska Liga	Loznica	0-0 HT 0-0	Borac Cacak
11/11/23 Serbia Srpska Liga	Borac Cacak	4-1 HT 1-1	Loznica
09/05/21 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	0-1 HT 0-0	Loznica

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	17	11	3	3	30	20	36
2	Javor Ivanjica	17	9	7	1	40	20	34
3	FK Backa Topola	17	9	7	1	38	20	34
4	OFK Vrsac	17	9	3	5	21	16	30
5	FK Dubocica	17	7	5	5	18	18	26
6	Smederevo	17	7	4	6	23	23	25
7	FK Napredak	17	7	4	6	16	17	25
8	Spartak Subotica	17	6	5	6	26	29	23
9	FK Proleter 023	17	5	7	5	24	18	22
10	FK Vozdovac	17	5	5	7	15	15	20
11	Loznica	17	4	8	5	20	24	20
12	Metalac Gornji	17	5	4	8	20	26	19
13	Jedinstvo UB	17	5	3	9	21	27	18
14	FK Graficar Beograd	17	5	2	10	25	30	17
15	Teleoptik	17	3	5	9	21	30	14
16	Bor 1919	17	2	2	13	8	33	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Borac Cacak	Loznica
FK Vozdovac	1-0 W	1-1 D
Smederevo	2-0 W	1-0 W
FK Napredak	0-0 D	0-3 L
Spartak Subotica	3-3 D	2-0 W
Jedinstvo UB	3-1 W	3-2 W
Javor Ivanjica	1-3 L	2-2 D
FK Backa Topola	2-2 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Borac Cacak (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borac Cacak

WLWDLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
01/11	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	10	5	W
24/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
19/10	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-3	9	6	D
10/10	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
04/10	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
26/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	2	1	D
20/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
16/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	2	6	L
13/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W

Loznica

LDWWLWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	7	8	L
01/11	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	5	12	L
24/10	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	10	6	D
18/10	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
12/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
05/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
28/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	9	4	W
21/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	3-2	5	5	W
17/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-2	0	6	D
12/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-4	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borac Cacak vs Loznica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Borac Cacak win (56%). Probabilities: Borac Cacak 56%, draw 24%, Loznica 20%.

How many goals are expected in Borac Cacak vs Loznica?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Borac Cacak 1.88 · Loznica 1.05), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Borac Cacak vs Loznica?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.