Football · Argentina Torneo A · 06/09, 20:30

Prediction: CA Bartolome Mitre vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Team pages: CA Bartolome Mitre · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.59Total
CA Bartolome Mitre0.3
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy1.3
1X2
9% 28% 63%
CA Bartolome Mitre Draw Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 60%
Most likely score
0-1 26%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Bartolome Mitre 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DDLWLLDLLL
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDDDLDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Bartolome Mitre 1439 · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1527
CA Bartolome MitreDrawGimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Our model8%31%62%
Market10%26%64%
Estimated total (ours) 1.59 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy (rating 1439 vs 1527).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA Bartolome MitreGimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Goals for / against (FT)0.3 / 1.10.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.70.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 4.82.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.15 / 0.5

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Martin Formosa 5410 11413
2 Sol de America de Formosa 5311 6410
3 CA Douglas Haig 6222 878
4 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 5221 438
5 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 5221 328
6 Defensores de Belgrano VR 6213 337
7 CA Sarmiento de la Banda 5122 555
8 Sportivo Belgrano 6123 385
9 CA Bartolome Mitre 5014 291

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA Bartolome MitreGimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Sportivo Belgrano 0-2 L 0-0 D
CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1-1 D 1-0 W
Defensores de Belgrano VR 0-1 L 1-0 W
San Martin Formosa 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Bartolome Mitre

DDLWLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 84 L
23/08 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-3 80 L
17/08 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 1-2 22 L
08/08 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 33 D
02/08 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 36 L
26/07 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 51 L
12/07 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 83 W
28/06 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 65 L
20/06 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 43 D
14/06 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 13 D

Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy

WLWDDDLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 76 W
23/08 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 25 W
16/08 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 108 D
13/08 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 97 L
01/08 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 98 D
25/07 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-2 42 D
12/07 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 32 D
05/07 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 85 W
28/06 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 16 L
20/06 Escobar FC
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-0 26 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Bartolome Mitre vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy win (63%). Probabilities: CA Bartolome Mitre 9%, draw 28%, Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 63%.

How many goals are expected in CA Bartolome Mitre vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?

The model expects 1.59 goals (CA Bartolome Mitre 0.3 · Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1.3), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Bartolome Mitre vs Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy?

The model gives a 60% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.