Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/09, 21:00

Prediction: Club Atlético El Linqueño vs Boca Unidos

Team pages: Club Atlético El Linqueño · Boca Unidos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

Club Atlético El Linqueño1.51

Boca Unidos0.49

1X2

62% 27% 11%

Club Atlético El Linqueño Draw Boca Unidos

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

1-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Atlético El Linqueño 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

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Boca Unidos 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDWWDW

Head-to-head

Club Atlético El Linqueño 1–1 Boca Unidos (2 last)

Club Atlético El Linqueño1-0Boca Unidos
Boca Unidos2-0Club Atlético El Linqueño

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Atlético El Linqueño 1509 · Boca Unidos 1532

	Club Atlético El Linqueño	Draw	Boca Unidos
Our model	62%	27%	11%
Market	62%	26%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Atlético El Linqueño	Boca Unidos
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.44

X3.40

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.44▼	Bet365 1.44
X	3.00 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
2	4.33 → 8.00▲	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:55 +4’	1.83	3.00	4.33
19:51 +17’	1.53▼	3.25▲	7.00▲
22:49 +2’	1.44▼	3.40▲	8.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atlético El Linqueño 1–0–1 Boca Unidos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/08/25 Argentina Torneo A	Club Atlético El Linqueño	1-0 HT 1-0	Boca Unidos
01/09/24 Argentina Torneo A	Boca Unidos	2-0 HT 1-0	Club Atlético El Linqueño

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boca Unidos	6	4	2	0	11	3	14
2	Gimnasia y Esgrima	6	3	2	1	8	1	11
3	Escobar FC	7	3	2	2	7	9	11
4	Independiente Chivilcoy	6	2	3	1	5	3	9
5	Defensores Puerto Vilelas	6	2	2	2	9	8	8
6	Club Atlético El Linqueño	6	1	4	1	4	3	7
7	Sportivo Las Parejas	6	1	3	2	3	3	6
8	Sarmiento de Resistencia	6	2	0	4	4	12	6
9	Tucuman Central	7	0	2	5	8	17	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Atlético El Linqueño	Boca Unidos
Independiente Chivilcoy	0-1 L	1-1 D
Escobar FC	1-1 D	3-0 W
Gimnasia y Esgrima	0-0 D	1-0 W
Tucuman Central	1-1 D	2-2 D
Sportivo Las Parejas	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Boca Unidos (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Atlético El Linqueño

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
30/08	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	11	6	D
23/08	Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
13/08	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
08/08	Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
02/08	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
26/07	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
12/07	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
05/07	Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
28/06	Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	9	4	D

Boca Unidos

LWLLWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
29/08	Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/08	Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
16/08	Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
08/08	Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
01/08	Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/07	Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-3	6	3	L
12/07	Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
05/07	Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
21/06	Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A	0-2	0-2	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Atlético El Linqueño vs Boca Unidos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atlético El Linqueño win (62%). Probabilities: Club Atlético El Linqueño 62%, draw 27%, Boca Unidos 11%.

How many goals are expected in Club Atlético El Linqueño vs Boca Unidos?

The model expects 2 goals (Club Atlético El Linqueño 1.51 · Boca Unidos 0.49), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Atlético El Linqueño vs Boca Unidos?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.