Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/09, 21:00
Prediction: San Martin Formosa vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Team pages: San Martin Formosa · CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
San Martin Formosa1.72
CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.94
1X2
San Martin Formosa
Draw
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
San Martin Formosa
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Martin Formosa
2–1–3
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
(6 last)
- CA Sarmiento de la Banda2-0San Martin Formosa
- San Martin Formosa4-2CA Sarmiento de la Banda
- CA Sarmiento de la Banda1-0San Martin Formosa
- San Martin Formosa1-0CA Sarmiento de la Banda
- CA Sarmiento de la Banda1-0San Martin Formosa
- San Martin Formosa0-0CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Martin Formosa 1565 · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1470
| San Martin Formosa | Draw | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 27% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin Formosa (rating 1565 vs 1470).
- H2H favours CA Sarmiento de la Banda: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Martin Formosa | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin Formosa 2–1–3 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 2-0 HT 2-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 10/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 4-2 HT 1-1 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 31/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 08/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 06/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 11/08/24 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | San Martin Formosa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sol de America de Formosa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | CA Douglas Haig | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 8 | Sportivo Belgrano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 5 |
| 9 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Martin Formosa | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
|---|---|---|
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Sportivo Belgrano | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| CA Douglas Haig | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Sol de America de Formosa | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| CA Bartolome Mitre | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Martin Formosa (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin Formosa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 12/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 1-4 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/07 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Martin Formosa vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin Formosa win (54%). Probabilities: San Martin Formosa 54%, draw 27%, CA Sarmiento de la Banda 19%.
How many goals are expected in San Martin Formosa vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?
The model expects 2.66 goals (San Martin Formosa 1.72 · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in San Martin Formosa vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.