Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/09, 21:00
Prediction: Sportivo Belgrano vs CA Douglas Haig
Team pages: Sportivo Belgrano · CA Douglas Haig
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Sportivo Belgrano1.07
CA Douglas Haig0.81
1X2
Sportivo Belgrano
Draw
CA Douglas Haig
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Belgrano
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
CA Douglas Haig
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Belgrano
2–3–1
CA Douglas Haig
(6 last)
- CA Douglas Haig0-0Sportivo Belgrano
- Sportivo Belgrano0-1CA Douglas Haig
- Sportivo Belgrano1-0CA Douglas Haig
- CA Douglas Haig0-1Sportivo Belgrano
- Sportivo Belgrano0-0CA Douglas Haig
- CA Douglas Haig0-0Sportivo Belgrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Belgrano 1453 · CA Douglas Haig 1523
| Sportivo Belgrano | Draw | CA Douglas Haig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 34% | 26% |
| Market | 42% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Douglas Haig (rating 1453 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Sportivo Belgrano: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Belgrano | CA Douglas Haig | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Belgrano 2–3–1 CA Douglas Haig
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Douglas Haig | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 18/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CA Douglas Haig |
| 11/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Douglas Haig |
| 18/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Douglas Haig | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 16/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Douglas Haig |
| 30/06/24 Argentina Torneo A | CA Douglas Haig | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | San Martin Formosa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sol de America de Formosa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | CA Douglas Haig | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 8 | Sportivo Belgrano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 5 |
| 9 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Belgrano | CA Douglas Haig |
|---|---|---|
| Sol de America de Formosa | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| CA Bartolome Mitre | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| San Martin Formosa | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Escobar FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Chivilcoy | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Douglas Haig (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 12/08 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
CA Douglas Haig
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 12/08 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Belgrano vs CA Douglas Haig?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Belgrano win (41%). Probabilities: Sportivo Belgrano 41%, draw 32%, CA Douglas Haig 27%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Belgrano vs CA Douglas Haig?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Sportivo Belgrano 1.07 · CA Douglas Haig 0.81), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Belgrano vs CA Douglas Haig?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.