Football · Argentina Torneo A · 13/09, 22:00

Prediction: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre

Team pages: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela · CA Bartolome Mitre

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela1.71
CA Bartolome Mitre0.58
1X2
64% 26% 11%
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Draw CA Bartolome Mitre
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLLLDDWLWW
CA Bartolome Mitre 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DLWLLDLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1529 · CA Bartolome Mitre 1424
CA 9 de Julio RafaelaDrawCA Bartolome Mitre
Our model64%25%11%
Market63%26%10%
Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA 9 de Julio Rafaela (rating 1529 vs 1424).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA 9 de Julio RafaelaCA Bartolome Mitre
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.20.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.31.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.33 / 0.1

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 7421 6214
2 San Martin Formosa 6411 11513
3 Sol de America de Formosa 7412 8613
4 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 6321 8411
5 Defensores de Belgrano VR 7313 4310
6 CA Douglas Haig 6222 878
7 CA Sarmiento de la Banda 6123 695
8 Sportivo Belgrano 7124 3105
9 CA Bartolome Mitre 6015 2101

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA 9 de Julio RafaelaCA Bartolome Mitre
CA Sarmiento de la Banda 4-1 W 1-1 D
Defensores de Belgrano VR 1-0 W 0-1 L
San Martin Formosa 1-2 L 0-1 L
Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy 1-0 W 0-1 L
Sportivo Belgrano 1-1 D 0-2 L
CA Douglas Haig 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
3-0 4-1 44 W
30/08 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 54 W
23/08 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 1-2 32 L
13/08 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 77 W
08/08 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 28 D
02/08 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 42 D
26/07 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 61 L
13/07 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 44 L
05/07 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-3 36 L
28/06 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-1 56 W

CA Bartolome Mitre

DLWLLDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 04 L
30/08 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 84 L
23/08 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-3 80 L
17/08 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 1-2 22 L
08/08 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 33 D
02/08 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 36 L
26/07 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 51 L
12/07 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 83 W
28/06 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 65 L
20/06 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 43 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win (64%). Probabilities: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 64%, draw 26%, CA Bartolome Mitre 11%.

How many goals are expected in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre?

The model expects 2.29 goals (CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.71 · CA Bartolome Mitre 0.58), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.