Prediction: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre
Team pages: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela · CA Bartolome Mitre
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | Draw | CA Bartolome Mitre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 25% | 11% |
| Market | 63% | 26% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA 9 de Julio Rafaela (rating 1529 vs 1424).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | CA Bartolome Mitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 1.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.1 |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | San Martin Formosa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sol de America de Formosa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | CA Douglas Haig | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 8 | Sportivo Belgrano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 5 |
| 9 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | CA Bartolome Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| San Martin Formosa | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Sportivo Belgrano | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| CA Douglas Haig | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 13/07 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
CA Bartolome Mitre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 17/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win (64%). Probabilities: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 64%, draw 26%, CA Bartolome Mitre 11%.
How many goals are expected in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre?
The model expects 2.29 goals (CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.71 · CA Bartolome Mitre 0.58), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.

