Prediction: FADEP Mendoza vs Germinal de Rawson
Team pages: FADEP Mendoza · Germinal de Rawson
| FADEP Mendoza | Draw | Germinal de Rawson | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 31% | 13% |
| Market | 56% | 30% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FADEP Mendoza (rating 1528 vs 1484).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FADEP Mendoza | Germinal de Rawson | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.8 |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Rincon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | San Martin de Mendoza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | FADEP Mendoza | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Germinal de Rawson | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | CA Costa Brava | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Guillermo Brown | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Santamarina Tandil | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FADEP Mendoza | Germinal de Rawson |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin de Mendoza | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Sol de Mayo | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Santamarina Tandil | 0-2 L | 5-1 W |
| CA Costa Brava | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Juventud Unida Universitario | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FADEP Mendoza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/08 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 12/07 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
Germinal de Rawson
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 12/08 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-4 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FADEP Mendoza vs Germinal de Rawson?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FADEP Mendoza win (56%). Probabilities: FADEP Mendoza 56%, draw 31%, Germinal de Rawson 14%.
How many goals are expected in FADEP Mendoza vs Germinal de Rawson?
The model expects 1.83 goals (FADEP Mendoza 1.32 · Germinal de Rawson 0.52), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FADEP Mendoza vs Germinal de Rawson?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.