Football · Argentina Torneo A · 06/09, 20:00
Prediction: Deportivo Rincon vs CA Costa Brava
Team pages: Deportivo Rincon · CA Costa Brava
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
Deportivo Rincon1.16
CA Costa Brava0.66
1X2
Deportivo Rincon
Draw
CA Costa Brava
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Rincon
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
CA Costa Brava
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Rincon
3–0
CA Costa Brava
(3 last)
- CA Costa Brava0-1Deportivo Rincon
- Deportivo Rincon1-0CA Costa Brava
- Deportivo Rincon2-1CA Costa Brava
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Rincon 1513 · CA Costa Brava 1486
| Deportivo Rincon | Draw | CA Costa Brava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 34% | 20% |
| Market | 48% | 31% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.81 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Rincon: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Rincon | CA Costa Brava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.6 | 1.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Rincon 3–0–0 CA Costa Brava
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Costa Brava | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Rincon |
| 17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | Deportivo Rincon | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Costa Brava |
| 14/09/25 Argentina Torneo A | Deportivo Rincon | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CA Costa Brava |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Rincon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | San Martin de Mendoza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | FADEP Mendoza | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Germinal de Rawson | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | CA Costa Brava | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Guillermo Brown | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Santamarina Tandil | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Rincon | CA Costa Brava |
|---|---|---|
| Germinal de Rawson | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Juventud Unida Universitario | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| San Martin de Mendoza | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Club Circulo Deportivo | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Guillermo Brown | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Huracan Las Heras | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/08 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 05/07 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
CA Costa Brava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/08 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Rincon vs CA Costa Brava?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Rincon win (47%). Probabilities: Deportivo Rincon 47%, draw 32%, CA Costa Brava 21%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Rincon vs CA Costa Brava?
The model expects 1.81 goals (Deportivo Rincon 1.16 · CA Costa Brava 0.66), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Rincon vs CA Costa Brava?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.