Football · Argentina Torneo A · 02/08, 21:30

Prediction: San Martin de Mendoza vs CA Costa Brava

Team pages: San Martin de Mendoza · CA Costa Brava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.86Total

San Martin de Mendoza1.11

CA Costa Brava0.74

1X2

43% 33% 24%

San Martin de Mendoza Draw CA Costa Brava

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

San Martin de Mendoza 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWDWLWDD

CA Costa Brava 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDWDWLL

Head-to-head

San Martin de Mendoza 0–2–2 CA Costa Brava (4 last)

CA Costa Brava2-1San Martin de Mendoza
San Martin de Mendoza0-0CA Costa Brava
CA Costa Brava1-0San Martin de Mendoza
San Martin de Mendoza0-0CA Costa Brava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin de Mendoza 1511 · CA Costa Brava 1476

	San Martin de Mendoza	Draw	CA Costa Brava
Our model	43%	34%	23%
Market	44%	32%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CA Costa Brava: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Martin de Mendoza	CA Costa Brava
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	2.8 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	5.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X2.80

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.90

Under 1.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:27 +4’	2.05	2.80	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin de Mendoza 0–2–2 CA Costa Brava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Argentina Torneo A	CA Costa Brava	2-1 HT 1-0	San Martin de Mendoza
26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A	San Martin de Mendoza	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Costa Brava
24/05/25 Argentina Torneo A	CA Costa Brava	1-0 HT 0-0	San Martin de Mendoza
23/03/25 Argentina Torneo A	San Martin de Mendoza	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Costa Brava

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Martin de Mendoza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Germinal de Rawson	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Juventud Unida Universitario	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Santamarina Tandil	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Club Circulo Deportivo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CA Costa Brava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sol de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo Rincon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FADEP Mendoza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guillermo Brown	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Martin de Mendoza	CA Costa Brava
CDA Monte Maiz	1-1 D	2-0 W
FADEP Mendoza	0-0 D	0-2 L
Deportivo Rincon	1-0 W	0-1 L
Huracan Las Heras	3-1 W	0-2 L
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas	0-0 D	1-1 D
Cipolletti	1-0 W	1-0 W
Juventud Unida Universitario	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: San Martin de Mendoza (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin de Mendoza

DLDWDWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	8	0	D
12/07	FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
05/07	Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
28/06	CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
21/06	Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A	1-0	3-1	5	6	W
07/06	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
31/05	Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
23/05	Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
17/05	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	0-2	1-4	7	3	L
10/05	FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	4	1	D

CA Costa Brava

LLLWDWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
04/07	Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
28/06	San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
21/06	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	1-1	1-1	2	8	D
14/06	Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	11	11	W
07/06	Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
31/05	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
24/05	FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
17/05	Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
02/05	Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A	1-2	1-2	10	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin de Mendoza vs CA Costa Brava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin de Mendoza win (43%). Probabilities: San Martin de Mendoza 43%, draw 33%, CA Costa Brava 24%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin de Mendoza vs CA Costa Brava?

The model expects 1.86 goals (San Martin de Mendoza 1.11 · CA Costa Brava 0.74), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin de Mendoza vs CA Costa Brava?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.